Premier League · resolved market
Brentford vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dfa12a561b5b1f0abbaeb782f833a26f92d3134f22d3c8d0ad982d38111f084
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 60c | 3,847$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.82 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 45c | 1,546$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.28 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 1,099$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.45 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 59c | 973.73$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 50c | 898.32$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 39c | 614.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.65 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 40c | 613.01$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.81 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Under | 53c | 402.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.31 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x651a…afd3backed Under | 57c | 357.02$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Under | 59c | 339.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 77 | 37.7%29 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8a5ebacked Over | 41c | 225$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Under | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 159.08$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.65 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 65c | 154.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Under | 60c | 149$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3357…42fabacked Over | 40c | 149$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 62c | 127.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca3…cb95backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…da51backed Over | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 192 | 59.4%114 W · 78 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 255 | 45.5%116 W · 139 L | -18.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…5c1bbacked Under | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23bd…2ea6backed Over | 37c | 53.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 60c | 49.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4135…8a57backed Under | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…317abacked Over | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x808b…48c8backed Under | 62c | 21.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford vs. Liverpool: O/U 3.5this page
- Brentford vs. Liverpool: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Liverpool (-1.5)Brentford won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.