TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Ken Paxton be Trump's Attorney General?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$817,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$205,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c43,074$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.692400%0 W · 240 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b55…cde3backed Yes1c42,477$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.7560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c22,608$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+230%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c15,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x610c…fa78backed Yes0c11,405$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc63…6ba3backed Yes1c7,872$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710b…5f26backed Yes1c7,859$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb75…6c70backed Yes0c7,648$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bb2…682cbacked Yes10c6,118$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.45756.1%32 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+35.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c5,872$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3296319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…d21abacked Yes0c5,666$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.618914.3%27 W · 162 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd3…27f3backed Yes1c5,652$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x938d…7a60backed Yes1c5,571$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0907…6a95backed Yes1c4,219$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes1c4,057$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.5517225%43 W · 129 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd229…7b4bbacked Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb26…1876backed Yes1c3,996$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x389e…1969backed Yes1c3,995$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f18…4562backed Yes1c3,995$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9e…3db5backed Yes1c3,993$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…5c74backed Yes1c3,990$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x761b…5523backed Yes1c3,990$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcc…5d5cbacked Yes1c3,990$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c8…94f1backed Yes1c3,989$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad44…4e5cbacked Yes1c3,989$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea0…fa5bbacked Yes1c3,988$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e20…d031backed Yes1c3,988$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ec…ff8dbacked Yes1c3,988$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40e…b160backed Yes1c3,986$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe759…48ffbacked Yes1c3,986$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ac…be70backed Yes1c3,985$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12cd…c35bbacked Yes1c3,984$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec14…b8b6backed Yes1c3,984$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32c7…368fbacked Yes1c3,982$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x474a…00a4backed Yes1c3,981$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8c…673bbacked Yes1c3,981$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4387…e3a5backed Yes1c3,981$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf01…fb0abacked Yes1c3,981$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0365…2ef6backed Yes1c3,979$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f6…3cc1backed Yes1c3,979$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e2…3bd2backed Yes1c3,979$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61c…6dd0backed Yes1c3,979$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21a8…292ebacked Yes1c3,978$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa65f…e546backed Yes1c3,978$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc95…9d0abacked Yes1c3,977$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b2…a64cbacked Yes1c3,977$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a7…a3c9backed Yes1c3,977$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x346d…66dbbacked Yes1c3,975$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0418…4347backed Yes1c3,975$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba9a…e575backed Yes1c3,975$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd52…dfecbacked Yes1c3,972$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9b3…901abacked Yes1c3,972$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9596…3406backed Yes1c3,972$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3fc…777fbacked Yes1c3,971$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27cc…8e6ebacked Yes1c3,970$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f78…6c2dbacked Yes1c3,970$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b20…bc10backed Yes1c3,970$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ea…d97bbacked Yes1c3,968$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6c…a130backed Yes1c3,965$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b96…6ac8backed Yes1c3,965$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56b4…0dd9backed Yes1c3,963$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617e…6a64backed Yes1c3,961$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d6…7e8cbacked Yes1c3,961$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80e8…8263backed Yes1c3,961$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9186…74ccbacked Yes1c3,961$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1582…5272backed Yes1c3,960$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac57…038fbacked Yes1c3,960$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd4…e27abacked Yes1c3,957$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba81…719ebacked Yes1c3,957$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f4…fe5dbacked Yes1c3,957$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1b7…c452backed Yes1c3,957$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b0…5518backed Yes1c3,956$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…1bbebacked Yes1c3,954$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd18…0302backed Yes1c3,954$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd344…3c25backed Yes1c3,954$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab0c…6b2abacked Yes1c3,954$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe268…85edbacked Yes1c3,953$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x599d…8860backed Yes1c3,950$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc2…4e8cbacked Yes1c3,950$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd78…834dbacked Yes1c3,950$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c8e…5807backed Yes1c3,947$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa80…3581backed Yes1c3,947$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f7…f47cbacked Yes1c3,946$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…b7adbacked Yes1c3,945$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1330…a16cbacked Yes1c3,945$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda07…5febbacked Yes1c3,943$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4a6…3978backed Yes1c3,940$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07bd…04b0backed Yes1c3,940$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e62…644bbacked Yes1c3,939$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad7…46c2backed Yes1c3,939$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9035…5dc5backed Yes1c3,938$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea4e…b04ebacked Yes1c3,936$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd35a…0222backed Yes1c3,935$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6d5…34a3backed Yes1c3,934$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7154…a216backed Yes1c3,934$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d6…2c71backed Yes1c3,932$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb0a…703fbacked Yes1c3,932$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4272…7d86backed Yes1c3,932$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3438…c08bbacked Yes1c3,931$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cd1…adc5backed Yes1c3,929$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.