TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Pam Bondi be Trump's Attorney General?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99a1…b0c3backed No1c30,949$169 inLost-$168.872847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ebb…b114backed No19c14,465$2,800 inLost-$2,80060%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed No2c7,253$177 inLost-$176.78195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+230%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb482…fbc7backed No0c5,000$10 inLost-$10825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked No1c2,806$19 inLost-$18.982400%0 W · 240 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked No2c2,397$49 inLost-$49.383859.4%36 W · 349 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-56.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No4c2,380$92 inLost-$91.7996319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6367…e938backed No6c1,359$82 inLost-$81.539426.6%25 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…733cbacked No5c817.23$40 inLost-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No8c733.27$61 inLost-$61.4999629.5%294 W · 702 L-73.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-37.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc326…23e2backed No9c733.19$69 inLost-$69333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-54.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…2392backed No4c724$29 inLost-$29.082321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d37…f4a4backed No8c625$50 inLost-$50828.5%7 W · 75 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed No14c509.48$70 inLost-$70.297014.3%10 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3399…e5fbbacked No10c383.41$37 inLost-$36.985850%29 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a61…af24backed Yes64c290.98$186 inWon+$104.7516535.8%59 W · 106 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+86.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2f9f…24adbacked No8c287.5$23 inLost-$2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d6…dde8backed No10c249.99$25 inLost-$25130%0 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ef1…7772backed No9c220$20 inLost-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b5…3041backed No10c215$22 inLost-$22812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc395…5c8cbacked No6c200$12 inLost-$121428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d57…bd62backed No8c175$14 inLost-$143435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked No8c125$10 inLost-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f4…985ebacked No12c103.89$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed No17c81.41$14 inLost-$13.7517713%23 W · 154 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eaa…6a15backed Yes52c40$21 inWon+$19.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.