TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Robert Giuffra be Trump's Attorney General?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,809,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,809,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c74,284$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.822400%0 W · 240 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c36,784$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.782847.7%22 W · 262 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76b9…8beabacked Yes0c20,120$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes0c15,686$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.94195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick1cpaid+230%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b02…6d1fbacked Yes0c13,244$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d53…1e27backed Yes0c13,244$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b2…b4cebacked Yes0c11,478$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddfd…0edfbacked Yes0c11,478$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f5d…07a0backed Yes0c11,478$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a85…6dc6backed Yes0c10,595$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9177…c1b5backed Yes0c10,595$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20b…b282backed Yes0c10,595$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8903…6baebacked Yes0c10,595$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505b…b738backed Yes0c9,712$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf109…006abacked Yes0c9,712$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e6…f23ebacked Yes0c9,712$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6933…b5f0backed Yes0c9,712$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f63…87a7backed Yes0c9,712$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb902…f400backed Yes0c9,712$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes0c9,682$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5296319.8%191 W · 772 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2536…e130backed Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd403…7492backed Yes0c8,829$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25e…9cf5backed Yes0c8,829$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1034…5b3fbacked Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3287…1b54backed Yes0c8,829$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55f0…cfe5backed Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a3…7133backed Yes0c8,829$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5eb…0e13backed Yes0c8,829$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe762…5c76backed Yes0c8,829$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1cb…0db2backed Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa381…0bf2backed Yes0c8,829$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc9f…5a2ebacked Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f49…750fbacked Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…3237backed Yes0c8,829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…4428backed Yes0c7,946$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd6…521ebacked Yes0c7,946$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64bc…ee7cbacked Yes0c7,946$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a02…3bebbacked Yes0c7,946$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae57…98b8backed Yes0c7,946$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a03…2a1ebacked Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…5538backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87d7…9d29backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe933…f072backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d5e…ad10backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46f…3de1backed Yes0c7,946$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8037…8e32backed Yes0c7,946$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa789…258fbacked Yes0c7,946$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4724…83f8backed Yes0c7,946$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa58a…7470backed Yes0c7,946$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e6a…ca76backed Yes0c7,946$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773e…7f7ebacked Yes0c7,946$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18e6…9680backed Yes0c7,946$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153f…3f9abacked Yes0c7,946$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf932…c8adbacked Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a6…4026backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fef…2f5dbacked Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8382…ec05backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a07…2bfdbacked Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x104c…91d5backed Yes0c7,946$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19ca…bac1backed Yes0c7,064$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ec…dd1bbacked Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33cb…c451backed Yes0c7,064$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9a5…3eb4backed Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaa8…a217backed Yes0c7,064$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e7…e7c8backed Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00eb…8cbabacked Yes0c7,064$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb87a…cc76backed Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc716…f2b9backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b27…a65cbacked Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ea…17e0backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x466c…8366backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e69…bb23backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2811…3420backed Yes0c7,064$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5a…9fbabacked Yes0c7,064$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba3e…472ebacked Yes0c7,064$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f86…0104backed Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1e9…1aabbacked Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0e…2c08backed Yes0c7,064$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3710…8cc4backed Yes0c7,064$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e9…6863backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bc4…fe7abacked Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a82…ed64backed Yes0c7,064$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8046…af2ebacked Yes0c6,743$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f5…5a77backed Yes0c6,181$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0460…1017backed Yes0c6,181$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83e1…a448backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c4…ee2ebacked Yes0c6,181$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1709…fa00backed Yes0c6,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51f1…47c8backed Yes0c6,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed66…cff9backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5791…ffc0backed Yes0c6,181$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb23b…906cbacked Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc277…68fbbacked Yes0c6,181$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ab…8485backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34da…2247backed Yes0c6,181$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dce…4106backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…d087backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecd…f4a7backed Yes0c6,181$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb60e…4884backed Yes0c6,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d5…6191backed Yes0c6,181$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.