College Football · resolved market
Spread: Indiana (-21.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f88dc54d2e1b897d9f8833252813ea1e6a3a8debb7e3e37684df6ecae83fad3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Indianaof Indiana, Maryland Terrapins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Indiana | 50c | 17,015$8,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.47 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Indiana | 48c | 8,359$4,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.72 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 7,854$4,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,084.08 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Indiana | 48c | 5,231$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 4,462$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.4 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 3,086$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.86 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 2,807$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Indiana | 47c | 2,042$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.27 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 1,949$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.5 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 1,697$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.85 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 1,633$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.79 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maryland Terrapins | 35c | 1,451$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.69 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 1,362$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Indiana | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Indiana | 47c | 688.08$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.83 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 582.08$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.67 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Indiana | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Indiana | 48c | 400$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…83c0backed Indiana | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18a…47dfbacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 201$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Indiana | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Maryland Terrapins | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Maryland Terrapins | 50c | 160$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Indiana | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Maryland Terrapins | 45c | 109.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Indiana | 49c | 102.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Indiana | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Indiana | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c1…012cbacked Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Indiana | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…6c31backed Indiana | 48c | 59.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…93f9backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 59.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…2973backed Indiana | 48c | 55.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7433…5930backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 55.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…c1e9backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75a6…510dbacked Indiana | 48c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed Maryland Terrapins | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Indiana | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…0d7ebacked Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 49.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…85afbacked Indiana | 48c | 49.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +147%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Maryland Terrapins | 52c | 38.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Maryland Terrapins | 48c | 27.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Indiana | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana (-21.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Indiana (-11.5)Indiana won
- Indiana vs. Maryland TerrapinsIndiana won
- Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapins: 1H MoneylineIndiana won
- Indiana vs. Maryland Terrapins: O/U 50.5Over won
- O/U 51.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana (-22.5)Indiana won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.