Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x773b4ceac46125184e369191cae687c10ebc5043ff75c50a77800408735d747c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inter Miami CFof Inter Miami CF, Nashville SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,915
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Nashville SC | 57c | 2,875$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.43 | 257 | 61.5%158 W · 99 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Nashville SC | 59c | 2,360$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,392.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Inter Miami CF | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Inter Miami CF | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inter Miami CF | 40c | 910$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Inter Miami CF | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Nashville SC | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…c52cbacked Inter Miami CF | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Inter Miami CF | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Inter Miami CF | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Inter Miami CF | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Nashville SC | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Inter Miami CF | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nashville SC | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nashville SC | 59c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Inter Miami CF vs. Nashville SC: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.