Us Politics · resolved market
Was JFK assassinated by a foreign government?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x332efa96c8baa05ea4dc8b1046114978fb29298e81d2fe238ed4db666cdf35bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,340,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,275,964
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,340,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7d4…8ceabacked Yes | 3c | 138,210$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,787.66 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c23…b6a1backed Yes | 0c | 77,307$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.7 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -81%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 0c | 60,002$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.49 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 5cpaid | +411%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…a6a0backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 4c | 45,681$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0c…c1d8backed Yes | 1c | 39,101$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 2c | 30,187$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.49 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 25,958$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.44 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 5c | 20,612$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…8b4bbacked Yes | 3c | 19,231$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…a820backed Yes | 3c | 15,868$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…3f05backed Yes | 3c | 13,618$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88e1…8413backed Yes | 1c | 13,433$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 2c | 12,840$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.48 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 3c | 12,826$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.14 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 1c | 12,675$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdee…7301backed Yes | 0c | 11,881$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa22…c275backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 3c | 10,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.97 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 3c | 8,883$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d43…ac2bbacked Yes | 3c | 7,761$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffb…a032backed Yes | 1c | 7,143$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 3c | 7,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.42 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,378$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…fe1bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,136$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 2c | 5,356$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 98 | 10.2%10 W · 88 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf4…e0f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 3c | 4,097$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…43f5backed Yes | 3c | 3,857$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9f…c17cbacked Yes | 3c | 3,834$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.59 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…6344backed Yes | 1c | 3,479$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda43…480fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,417$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x859e…df37backed Yes | 3c | 3,365$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 3c | 3,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…201ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x780f…ec2ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,977$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd329…45c1backed Yes | 3c | 2,969$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a7…d2ccbacked Yes | 3c | 2,928$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.73 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -91.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…f7e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,667$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +235.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,654$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e6…2cc5backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…ef97backed Yes | 2c | 2,400$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 3c | 2,222$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…cb9cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,222$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…7564backed Yes | 3c | 2,201$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x770e…7640backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -84%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…3445backed Yes | 3c | 2,133$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…1b55backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -76%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…61b5backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…23d6backed Yes | 3c | 1,673$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ea…fa11backed Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b7…5dc9backed Yes | 1c | 1,617$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e6…b1afbacked Yes | 2c | 1,508$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Yes | 4c | 1,474$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…5e9dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,259$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 2c | 1,222$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 189 | 14.3%27 W · 162 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed4f…e25abacked Yes | 1c | 1,217$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…3a36backed Yes | 3c | 1,154$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…5c0cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,149$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…ce65backed Yes | 4c | 1,125$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5f…aa85backed Yes | 3c | 1,111$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…4e08backed Yes | 3c | 1,080$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 3c | 1,067$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad66…7a43backed Yes | 2c | 1,024$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb78b…5d40backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…13eebacked Yes | 2c | 999.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa8…6c7cbacked Yes | 4c | 975$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b8…c81fbacked Yes | 1c | 965.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…7dd3backed Yes | 3c | 961.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b7…89a4backed Yes | 1c | 893.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ca…0e22backed Yes | 1c | 858.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1883…ff30backed Yes | 1c | 855$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…3a31backed Yes | 6c | 800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -55%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…870cbacked Yes | 3c | 767.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6d…367cbacked Yes | 6c | 760.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…e951backed Yes | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…6485backed Yes | 7c | 734.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.4 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e3b4backed Yes | 4c | 700.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 680$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fec…017ebacked Yes | 3c | 670$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…3e1ebacked Yes | 4c | 657.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 2c | 647.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 119 | 18.5%22 W · 97 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0166…af99backed Yes | 2c | 637.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…ffc6backed Yes | 3c | 618.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ea…d0c1backed Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…b5abbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 517.94$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc7…b81cbacked Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a81…a654backed Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…8efabacked Yes | 4c | 463.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace0…05cebacked Yes | 4c | 450.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c96…7627backed Yes | 2c | 447$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…d488backed Yes | 2c | 426.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…a377backed Yes | 3c | 426.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.