NBA · resolved market
Nets vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10774570544a025448691388dc6ac005053d7f6e5acfe8261e8c02c72071bd8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Nets, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Hawks | 73c | 6,402$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.26 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Nets | 11c | 2,615$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Nets | 51c | 2,362$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.08 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Nets | 36c | 1,870$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.04 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Nets | 20c | 1,167$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.3 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Nets | 26c | 1,155$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.26 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Hawks | 73c | 999.97$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Hawks | 25c | 959.97$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.19 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nets | 2c | 901.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Nets | 25c | 763.83$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.82 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Hawks | 72c | 749.98$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Nets | 28c | 704.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Hawks | 73c | 696.43$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Hawks | 71c | 679.68$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a68…003abacked Hawks | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfebd…3b87backed Nets | 21c | 523.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6d…ec40backed Nets | 7c | 500$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba31…2965backed Nets | 22c | 462.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Nets | 35c | 424.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Hawks | 70c | 419.19$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Nets | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Hawks | 74c | 385$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Nets | 15c | 343.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets | 18c | 336.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Nets | 14c | 278.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Nets | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc8…35aebacked Nets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…286ebacked Hawks | 72c | 205$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…3996backed Nets | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d6…2a65backed Nets | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Hawks | 73c | 179.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Nets | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Nets | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed Nets | 27c | 149.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…5459backed Hawks | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 66cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c56…dfa1backed Nets | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Nets | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Nets | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Nets | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Nets | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Nets | 28c | 99.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fa…43adbacked Hawks | 72c | 89.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Hawks | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…e78cbacked Hawks | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Hawks | 72c | 75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…16c1backed Nets | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb640…e0d5backed Hawks | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Hawks | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Hawks | 72c | 61.12$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Hawks | 74c | 60.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Hawks | 69c | 41.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Hawks | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa2…07d3backed Hawks | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2e…44c3backed Hawks | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…0704backed Hawks | 75c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…7770backed Hawks | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Hawks | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e6…a1ffbacked Hawks | 75c | 26.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…c49cbacked Hawks | 74c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…bb47backed Hawks | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b5…a6b5backed Hawks | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2747…cf42backed Nets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa44e…4d45backed Hawks | 73c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f62…cf1bbacked Hawks | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…8b64backed Hawks | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.