MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ce4304f159dd36cfc2308c92238235ed16e7364119b9ae56239b2678159276d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cubsof Red Sox, Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $616,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $612,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $616,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Cubs | 60c | 546,576$327,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219,123.36 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Red Sox | 40c | 199,800$79,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,920 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Red Sox | 40c | 85,900$34,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,360 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Red Sox | 40c | 66,800$26,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,720 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 40c | 60,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Sox | 41c | 44,358$18,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,186.78 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 40c | 40,000$16,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,000 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Red Sox | 40c | 19,873$7,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,949.2 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Red Sox | 33c | 17,266$5,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,729 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 41c | 9,581$3,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,928.21 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Red Sox | 40c | 8,983$3,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.06 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Sox | 15c | 7,579$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.67 | 9,947 | 46.4%4,619 W · 5,328 L | +38.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Sox | 10c | 7,462$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 41c | 4,500$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 1,160 | 49.3%572 W · 588 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Red Sox | 40c | 3,950$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.5 | 1,934 | 53.5%1,034 W · 900 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Red Sox | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cubs | 57c | 2,436$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.48 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Red Sox | 43c | 2,323$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Red Sox | 13c | 2,104$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.58 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Red Sox | 43c | 1,744$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.9 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cubs | 57c | 1,728$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Red Sox | 8c | 1,510$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.69 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Red Sox | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Red Sox | 6c | 1,134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Cubs | 59c | 1,001$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.9 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Red Sox | 7c | 967.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Red Sox | 13c | 719$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 628 | 46.2%290 W · 338 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Cubs | 57c | 601$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.43 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Red Sox | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Red Sox | 41c | 499$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Sox | 40c | 489.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Red Sox | 43c | 470$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 1,461 | 49.9%729 W · 732 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Cubs | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 42c | 450.01$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Sox | 7c | 422.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Red Sox | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cubs | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Cubs | 59c | 338.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.84 | 636 | 52.5%334 W · 302 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Cubs | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Red Sox | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 41c | 299.98$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.49 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cubs | 57c | 295.54$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.08 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cubs | 56c | 272.49$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 5,262 | 56.7%2,983 W · 2,279 L | +127.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Red Sox | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Red Sox | 42c | 233.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Red Sox | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…35bebacked Red Sox | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Red Sox | 5c | 213$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Red Sox | 27c | 204$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Red Sox | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cubs | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6,316 | 48.2%3,047 W · 3,269 L | +180.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Red Sox | 41c | 199.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cubs | 57c | 198.99$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 2,079 | 53.9%1,120 W · 959 L | +34.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Cubs | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…df92backed Cubs | 59c | 170.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Cubs | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 26c | 154.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Cubs | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Red Sox | 41c | 136.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Red Sox | 43c | 126.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Red Sox | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cubs | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Red Sox | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked Red Sox | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Cubs | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Red Sox | 24c | 94.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Red Sox | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Red Sox | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Red Sox | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Red Sox | 43c | 79.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,303 | 56.6%738 W · 565 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Red Sox | 18c | 67.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…1311backed Red Sox | 42c | 59.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Red Sox | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…fe43backed Cubs | 57c | 50.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.93 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…275cbacked Red Sox | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cubs | 56c | 49.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Red Sox | 42c | 49.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Cubs | 62c | 48.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked Red Sox | 42c | 46.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe913…1a90backed Red Sox | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Red Sox | 25c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…dbc7backed Red Sox | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Red Sox | 41c | 38.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Red Sox | 43c | 34.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1,100 | 46.5%511 W · 589 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Red Sox | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Red Sox | 41c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Cubs | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Cubs | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cubs | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Cubs | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.