MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9ae4740989dac03cd32427ecfcb9e0821cb02b0ee22cb68d10dc2288e1b9df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Cardinals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 48c | 14,650$6,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,959.54 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 21c | 7,955$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.7 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 4,715$2,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.6 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d3…b82cbacked Cardinals | 9c | 2,844$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 2,419$1,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.2 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Diamondbacks | 51c | 2,353$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.94 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,859$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.23 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,559$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 1,414$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.15 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,316$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.1 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 1,189$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.83 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Cardinals | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Cardinals | 38c | 1,089$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.74 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Cardinals | 50c | 945$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.5 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 899.96$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…d0e7backed Cardinals | 6c | 750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 25c | 562.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 50c | 518.96$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 504.99$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Cardinals | 47c | 429.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Cardinals | 6c | 427.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 358.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 335.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.58 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 335$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 49c | 332$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…069abacked Cardinals | 51c | 330$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.3 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 319.32$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.13 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…723dbacked Cardinals | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…57e0backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 238.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 220.19$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.49 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Cardinals | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cardinals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Cardinals | 46c | 192$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.32 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 188$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 174.07$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Cardinals | 8c | 129.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 79c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Cardinals | 49c | 88.06$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.15 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Cardinals | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Cardinals | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Cardinals | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Diamondbacks | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 55.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Cardinals | 43c | 53.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Cardinals | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Cardinals | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a1…1467backed Cardinals | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb6…773dbacked Cardinals | 46c | 41.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 41.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 78c | 40.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8dde…1d71backed Cardinals | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…aec0backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Cardinals | 47c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Diamondbacks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Cardinals | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd6…e6b3backed Cardinals | 46c | 29.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…bd03backed Diamondbacks | 55c | 27.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 49c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…cfecbacked Cardinals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce50…91c0backed Cardinals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1f…b7a8backed Cardinals | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.