NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba8012f372aa192bee18a5ce8cea8a7677f591ef2efdcbd41cfc8f8367c10398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Nuggets, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Clippers | 51c | 13,284$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.57 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Clippers | 19c | 10,183$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.76 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 22c | 9,858$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,655.39 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Nuggets | 26c | 7,697$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,696.51 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Clippers | 31c | 3,201$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nuggets | 19c | 2,911$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.91 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…6d22backed Clippers | 56c | 2,750$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.09 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Clippers | 38c | 2,404$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.7 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 19c | 2,073$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.89 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Clippers | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Clippers | 58c | 1,600$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.62 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Clippers | 56c | 1,566$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.31 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nuggets | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.97 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Clippers | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Nuggets | 22c | 1,244$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.05 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nuggets | 23c | 882.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.61 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Clippers | 2c | 878.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Clippers | 77c | 861.18$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.68 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Clippers | 47c | 833.34$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.42 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Nuggets | 25c | 793.9$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.9 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Clippers | 6c | 789.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Clippers | 11c | 782.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.03 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Clippers | 40c | 735.71$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 667 | 32.4%216 W · 451 L | +41.8wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Clippers | 2c | 658.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Clippers | 14c | 616.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Nuggets | 20c | 605.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.26 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nuggets | 19c | 485.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.04 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 22c | 461.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.43 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Nuggets | 23c | 440$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 24c | 417.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.29 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Clippers | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 252 | 36.9%93 W · 159 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nuggets | 19c | 398.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Clippers | 77c | 391.13$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.17 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +13.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…94cebacked Nuggets | 20c | 343.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 19c | 319.82$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053e…6422backed Nuggets | 21c | 319.71$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +378%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Clippers | 80c | 318.65$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.92 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Clippers | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Clippers | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 258 | 36.8%95 W · 163 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…52cbbacked Nuggets | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Nuggets | 19c | 300$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +426.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Clippers | 33c | 291.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Nuggets | 11c | 283.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9eb…a6c9backed Nuggets | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +254.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Nuggets | 20c | 248.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 84 | 28.6%24 W · 60 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Nuggets | 17c | 230$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Clippers | 61c | 222.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.18 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Clippers | 30c | 222.41$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Clippers | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Nuggets | 19c | 199.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nuggets | 18c | 199.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.1 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…5e89backed Nuggets | 20c | 169.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Clippers | 52c | 164.11$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Clippers | 73c | 160.94$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…3769backed Clippers | 7c | 160.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…0cb6backed Nuggets | 20c | 150.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Clippers | 17c | 130$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nuggets | 19c | 128.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 1,109 | 41.8%464 W · 645 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Nuggets | 16c | 122.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.21 | 234 | 38.9%91 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b9…1d0fbacked Nuggets | 23c | 113.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nuggets | 19c | 109.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nuggets | 20c | 104.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f7…8109backed Nuggets | 20c | 103.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.04 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nuggets | 78c | 102.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nuggets | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Clippers | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf75…7352backed Nuggets | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…c05fbacked Clippers | 73c | 95.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.78 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Clippers | 59c | 92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.13 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…2880backed Nuggets | 25c | 90.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa350…fd30backed Nuggets | 21c | 87.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Clippers | 20c | 84.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nuggets | 24c | 83.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Nuggets | 18c | 82.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6439…d173backed Clippers | 80c | 81.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.28 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…d3b1backed Nuggets | 20c | 80.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nuggets | 20c | 80$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Nuggets | 21c | 78.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.07 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…0b39backed Nuggets | 19c | 73.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…7da4backed Nuggets | 20c | 66.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x367f…c41abacked Nuggets | 21c | 58.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nuggets | 54c | 52.87$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…c362backed Nuggets | 21c | 51.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +202.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Clippers | 22c | 50.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc971…7be7backed Clippers | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Clippers | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Clippers | 46c | 35.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed Clippers | 45c | 35.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9824…d250backed Clippers | 80c | 35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9898…c894backed Clippers | 80c | 32.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed Clippers | 52c | 32.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Nuggets | 53c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…cb75backed Clippers | 78c | 25.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…d669backed Clippers | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…8a68backed Clippers | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…42ddbacked Clippers | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…6701backed Nuggets | 59c | 20.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Clippers | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb1…fea1backed Clippers | 80c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Clippers | 58c | 17.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.