MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9167da2edfb03f4f8ddca1ec55146e05e927abc308c3c462f88e33517a04594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Angels, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $157,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 45c | 13,484$6,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,130.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Phillies | 56c | 13,440$7,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,963.23 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Angels | 46c | 9,504$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,412.7 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Phillies | 54c | 9,410$5,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.44 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26a…6d6ebacked Phillies | 56c | 8,263$4,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,671.33 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 42c | 6,098$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.33 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Phillies | 33c | 6,096$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.06 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 47c | 5,740$2,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.41 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 45c | 5,370$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.67 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Angels | 5c | 5,041$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Phillies | 54c | 4,791$2,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.18 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Angels | 32c | 4,774$1,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.88 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Angels | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed Angels | 54c | 2,913$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Phillies | 57c | 2,629$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.56 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Phillies | 55c | 2,531$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.95 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 67c | 2,096$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Angels | 35c | 1,759$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.23 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Phillies | 50c | 1,728$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.78 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Angels | 48c | 1,666$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.8 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105d…786abacked Phillies | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743e…16aebacked Angels | 70c | 1,448$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Angels | 61c | 1,402$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.4 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Angels | 37c | 1,385$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.6 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Angels | 45c | 1,300$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Angels | 67c | 1,296$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.39 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Angels | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…0a1dbacked Angels | 54c | 979.15$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Phillies | 61c | 968.67$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.78 | 397 | 39.5%157 W · 240 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Angels | 46c | 938$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.48 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Angels | 42c | 904.86$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.83 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Phillies | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 33c | 691.96$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.61 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Phillies | 55c | 650.67$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.67 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 45c | 593.8$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.21 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 56c | 590.36$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.76 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 49c | 576.94$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Angels | 41c | 516.59$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.27 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 5c | 511.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Angels | 61c | 502$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.06 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Angels | 44c | 499$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Phillies | 62c | 496.61$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.71 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…a137backed Phillies | 53c | 466.51$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Phillies | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…b741backed Angels | 10c | 445.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Angels | 45c | 444.92$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Angels | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Phillies | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 37c | 339$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Phillies | 39c | 326.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Angels | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Phillies | 68c | 313.94$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d1…499ebacked Phillies | 72c | 304.37$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Angels | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Angels | 65c | 300$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Angels | 46c | 287.04$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.04 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 4c | 286.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Angels | 69c | 253.08$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.44 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Angels | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Angels | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Angels | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Angels | 32c | 214.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels | 47c | 213.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c39…b7a6backed Phillies | 48c | 206.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Angels | 67c | 205.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Angels | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 42c | 199.98$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels | 45c | 196.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels | 34c | 187.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Angels | 11c | 183.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Angels | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Angels | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Angels | 46c | 111$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Angels | 65c | 109.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Phillies | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Angels | 43c | 108.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.64 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Angels | 11c | 108.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Angels | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Angels | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Angels | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Phillies | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Phillies | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Angels | 68c | 87.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Angels | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Angels | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Angels | 47c | 78.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Phillies | 49c | 71.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd920…b7b6backed Angels | 46c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Angels | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Phillies | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Phillies | 40c | 62.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Phillies | 55c | 61.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…cddabacked Angels | 72c | 57.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Angels | 45c | 56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Angels | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.