TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Grizzlies vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,351
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,605

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,351 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies62c11,717$7,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.9659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b46…db60backed Grizzlies79c11,610$9,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.263748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Grizzlies63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.9765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Grizzlies64c8,501$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,051.470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Grizzlies73c8,177$5,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,246.2915056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls2c6,225$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.351,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe877…bb43backed Bulls40c5,014$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5880…5e69backed Bulls36c4,633$1,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Bulls29c4,424$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Bulls37c4,050$1,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.56245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls35c3,963$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.431,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Bulls20c3,759$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.651,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bulls18c3,606$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.5261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Bulls35c3,050$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0681,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Grizzlies64c2,999$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,068.6537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Bulls32c2,866$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.758417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Grizzlies64c2,850$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.978561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Grizzlies72c2,706$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1721649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Bulls28c2,654$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.0913920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bulls39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ab8…7883backed Grizzlies66c2,534$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Bulls36c2,131$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.399052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bulls36c2,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7201,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Bulls2c1,900$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3618316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab6d…b458backed Bulls9c1,717$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7511926.1%31 W · 88 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Bulls1c1,660$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd515…8d38backed Bulls36c1,632$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.381050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b6…d93bbacked Bulls39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5851127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8df2…97a5backed Bulls39c1,460$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.555438.9%21 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de8…cfb9backed Bulls1c1,200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110236.3%37 W · 65 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bulls36c1,152$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.1546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bulls36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…75f6backed Grizzlies65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+71.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa56d…27f2backed Bulls35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick45cpaid+100.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Bulls17c992$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.578439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd645…43f6backed Grizzlies69c950$656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6aa…d2f5backed Bulls34c921.78$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.342119%4 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick37cpaid-66.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Grizzlies64c913.82$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9329148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Bulls10c650.78$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.476435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bulls38c608.11$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0837831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Grizzlies74c606.42$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9829043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb5a…3a8ebacked Bulls14c579.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+153.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Grizzlies71c555.16$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7711459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls30c533.36$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5238132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls35c527.35$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Grizzlies64c508.7$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.2619642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Bulls33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bulls28c500$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…9423backed Grizzlies72c499.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1407657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6459…c926backed Bulls34c499.19$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.76634.8%23 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb8…0e53backed Grizzlies64c495.05$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c3a…4968backed Bulls37c495.03$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.16520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Bulls28c446.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12527939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Grizzlies60c377.26$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1885347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7961…2da2backed Bulls35c324.43$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.552326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.9wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Bulls36c310$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.611143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Bulls37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11129635.8%106 W · 190 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b9…3390backed Bulls34c299.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.9820233.7%68 W · 134 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc018…018abacked Bulls17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Bulls34c293.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7622832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Grizzlies63c289.99$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.59149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04a…824ebacked Bulls39c280.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.276829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…d0c8backed Bulls38c276.28$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Bulls31c274.64$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6310243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Bulls41c271.47$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bulls37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Grizzlies65c265$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7511662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ec5…140dbacked Grizzlies62c250.53$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.03633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd02a…0654backed Bulls36c250$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bad…74a7backed Grizzlies70c249.99$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7515234.9%53 W · 99 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Grizzlies65c231.49$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1126659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Bulls39c230$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.734644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls13c215$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.175502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Bulls35c204$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.419650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Bulls35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7011146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad46…f468backed Grizzlies65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c15…5038backed Bulls25c197.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024751.8%128 W · 119 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x43f9…3e7ebacked Bulls26c180$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bulls38c177.82$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4219137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb4…2794backed Grizzlies61c163.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6616443.3%71 W · 93 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe34…cf4cbacked Bulls37c163$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7517244.2%76 W · 96 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies59c161.32$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.1429738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e1…b599backed Bulls31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Bulls33c160.79$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0612131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Grizzlies64c154.69$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6911636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb414…65d0backed Grizzlies66c151.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Grizzlies63c150$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.55543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6f…7cdabacked Bulls11c150$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-58.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Grizzlies64c149.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9917846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc692…188cbacked Bulls35c148.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd52…6f4fbacked Bulls28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401520%3 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36ed…6950backed Bulls36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies64c135.37$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.371,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Bulls36c131.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3434548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls13c129.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.457502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79aa…62f9backed Grizzlies64c128.13$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.131478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d4a…836fbacked Grizzlies55c123$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.353100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0474…5af5backed Bulls45c123$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Bulls39c114.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.2924147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.