NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ca27fd32200fe121e3560367b56faacaa29c5e75bf35ac18eee051fbd3b6ade
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Bulls, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Pelicans | 64c | 6,115$3,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.54 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe477…bb6cbacked Bulls | 36c | 6,108$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,198.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Bulls | 35c | 2,566$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.56 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Pelicans | 69c | 1,873$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.49 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Pelicans | 65c | 1,111$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.54 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bulls | 19c | 914.05$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Bulls | 35c | 688.33$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.02 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked Pelicans | 65c | 515.45$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Bulls | 36c | 417$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Pelicans | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Pelicans | 64c | 364.75$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.31 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b30…7cf1backed Bulls | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bulls | 29c | 309.55$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…12a3backed Pelicans | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6807…391ebacked Pelicans | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Pelicans | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…4e95backed Bulls | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Bulls | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c4…490ebacked Pelicans | 71c | 98.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x957e…da1ebacked Pelicans | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…eec9backed Pelicans | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Bulls | 32c | 74.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Pelicans | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Pelicans | 70c | 71.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb14…a884backed Bulls | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…16ebbacked Pelicans | 72c | 61.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6665backed Bulls | 33c | 53.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2190…36babacked Bulls | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pelicans | 69c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b0…b9d0backed Bulls | 31c | 47.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Pelicans | 67c | 32.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Pelicans | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.