MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7bbd79f09b158e7fc165482f48e9c0b42549bea14b1d15d844c1a4c34e5b153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marinersof Astros, Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $408,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $414,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $408,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5912…89aebacked Astros | 45c | 100,000$45,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,000 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mariners | 55c | 55,602$30,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,020.9 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mariners | 55c | 38,853$21,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,483.93 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Astros | 43c | 29,392$12,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,682.05 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners | 47c | 28,822$13,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,228.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners | 44c | 16,190$7,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,991.67 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Mariners | 47c | 13,289$6,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,016.3 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mariners | 42c | 13,258$5,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Mariners | 57c | 12,105$6,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200.57 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Astros | 57c | 12,070$6,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.71 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 33c | 11,712$3,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,882.31 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Mariners | 56c | 10,217$5,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,500.09 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mariners | 60c | 7,119$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,814.27 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mariners | 46c | 6,447$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.29 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Astros | 34c | 5,875$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Astros | 41c | 4,708$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.23 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Mariners | 68c | 4,601$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.45 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners | 80c | 4,188$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.16 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Astros | 41c | 3,799$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.75 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…f94fbacked Mariners | 57c | 3,722$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.47 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mariners | 64c | 3,714$2,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.81 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb922…9888backed Mariners | 55c | 3,621$1,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Mariners | 36c | 3,170$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.43 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…d838backed Astros | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mariners | 48c | 2,863$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,482.14 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Astros | 44c | 2,700$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.63 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners | 55c | 2,278$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Astros | 31c | 2,239$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.34 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Astros | 45c | 1,967$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Astros | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Mariners | 56c | 1,701$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.14 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Mariners | 79c | 1,614$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.3 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7f…00c2backed Mariners | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 43c | 1,300$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Mariners | 52c | 1,265$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.69 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 58c | 1,265$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.46 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Astros | 38c | 1,227$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.74 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…c73abacked Astros | 45c | 1,210$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…4f60backed Astros | 45c | 1,206$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb0…7f89backed Astros | 45c | 1,197$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Astros | 49c | 1,104$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.02 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae0e…6527backed Mariners | 66c | 1,035$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fb…7d8cbacked Mariners | 56c | 1,010$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.34 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mariners | 67c | 947.94$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.68 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…a9d7backed Astros | 34c | 937.95$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.87 | 249 | 53%132 W · 117 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Astros | 42c | 808.81$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Astros | 78c | 799.41$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.97 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0667…42e1backed Mariners | 46c | 767.95$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.29 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x921a…ee8dbacked Astros | 69c | 744.36$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Astros | 12c | 726.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.53 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Astros | 22c | 724.35$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.99 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mariners | 61c | 691$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.67 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Mariners | 78c | 660.71$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.57 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mariners | 43c | 655.58$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.53 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Astros | 25c | 645.8$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Mariners | 42c | 637.9$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.9 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Astros | 25c | 623.43$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.8 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…8833backed Mariners | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Astros | 49c | 581$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.57 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Astros | 44c | 575$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…ede5backed Mariners | 50c | 536.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mariners | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Astros | 12c | 533.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1f…ab66backed Mariners | 56c | 469.02$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Astros | 56c | 460.87$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners | 56c | 460$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Mariners | 55c | 455.54$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…cb45backed Astros | 56c | 449.16$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.82 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Mariners | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Astros | 45c | 445$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.25 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Astros | 44c | 443.99$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.85 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Astros | 61c | 421.99$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…8121backed Mariners | 51c | 411.48$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Astros | 34c | 401.97$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Astros | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…a70dbacked Mariners | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450f…d078backed Mariners | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60e…d332backed Astros | 78c | 390.09$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mariners | 54c | 385.17$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.28 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed Mariners | 56c | 371.08$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 247 | 51%126 W · 121 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Mariners | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Mariners | 46c | 333.46$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.46 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Mariners | 64c | 313.17$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mariners | 33c | 304.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.28 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Mariners | 55c | 299.94$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.97 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mariners | 56c | 292.42$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.42 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Mariners | 39c | 280.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.82 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners | 50c | 272.92$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.52 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mariners | 33c | 261.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.32 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Mariners | 35c | 253.61$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners | 64c | 250$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.5 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Mariners | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bd…b051backed Astros | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Astros | 11c | 247$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Astros | 24c | 245.92$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Astros | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Mariners | 55c | 230$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Mariners | 66c | 225$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.