NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a3dcc930cefab7e1cf81278faa834b21a59bab3d2b35946b9603c3430ba7552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Heat, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 26,281$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.62 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 12,099$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.99 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 12,061$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.84 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 12,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 10,927$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 10,800$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 9,383$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.8 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 9,340$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.89 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 9,090$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.61 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf884…7a73backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 7,500$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 7,333$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.42 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 7,265$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.15 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…7c4bbacked Heat | 63c | 4,150$2,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,535.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 4,125$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.52 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e07…c0d4backed Heat | 80c | 3,799$3,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.08 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Heat | 79c | 3,793$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.87 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 3,499$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.31 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…d660backed Heat | 63c | 3,300$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…4769backed Heat | 71c | 3,254$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.99 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 3,083$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.72 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Heat | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Trail Blazers | 38c | 2,939$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.81 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 2,624$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.28 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 2,600$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.96 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Heat | 62c | 2,600$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.74 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 2,468$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.9 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Heat | 77c | 2,104$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.86 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 60c | 1,871$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.71 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53f6…7f1fbacked Heat | 65c | 1,846$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,819$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.77 | 481 | 37.2%179 W · 302 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,812$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Trail Blazers | 18c | 1,715$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.9 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…f352backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 1,605$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc86a…bcabbacked Heat | 63c | 1,604$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 64c | 1,600$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Heat | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Heat | 72c | 1,492$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.84 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58df…76b4backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,480$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Heat | 74c | 1,352$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.85 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 1,289$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Heat | 80c | 1,276$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.19 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Heat | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…c869backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Heat | 71c | 1,190$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Heat | 75c | 1,181$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.17 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc697…04e3backed Heat | 74c | 1,138$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.65 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 29c | 1,123$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.55 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,020$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Heat | 77c | 1,011$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.15 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Heat | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Heat | 62c | 999.98$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Trail Blazers | 38c | 999.94$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb765…e17fbacked Heat | 73c | 965.18$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.75 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Heat | 62c | 943.55$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.55 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Heat | 76c | 867.15$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.35 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Heat | 63c | 864.65$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Heat | 64c | 830$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.8 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdacd…cfb2backed Trail Blazers | 4c | 816.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Heat | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Heat | 73c | 802.15$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.79 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 718.16$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.36 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 717.38$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.34 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 172 | 43%74 W · 98 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 699.98$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.01 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab2…b58abacked Heat | 73c | 622.66$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.4 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…8bb6backed Heat | 60c | 617.11$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Heat | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Heat | 62c | 599.99$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e8…9d10backed Heat | 80c | 587.73$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.66 | 213 | 57.7%123 W · 90 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1f…d148backed Trail Blazers | 36c | 578$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Heat | 71c | 545.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 258 | 65.5%169 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Heat | 72c | 520.06$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.73 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 512.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc633…b4e7backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 511.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Heat | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…fdc0backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Heat | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…63bfbacked Heat | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Heat | 62c | 499.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 499.92$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Heat | 74c | 497.36$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 484.47$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.88 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 474.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.4 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…c252backed Heat | 74c | 474.31$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 451.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Heat | 70c | 449.97$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.92 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8dd…afcabacked Heat | 73c | 428.53$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.7 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Heat | 62c | 420.04$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Trail Blazers | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906b…fd3cbacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9c…6b82backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 394$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 12c | 369.09$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 353.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 353$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Heat | 62c | 329.98$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.79 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.