Movies · resolved market
Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c45d6152cd044e7fc3e429c0801f19bfb70d2b35b25442c7dd3e818b103e2d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Yes | 3c | 4,138$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 328 | 14.9%49 W · 279 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 32c | 2,479$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.76 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,206$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.82 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…8b76backed Yes | 7c | 991.28$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 10c | 963.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Yes | 12c | 807.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Yes | 7c | 710$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…2436backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 71c | 290.35$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 216.41$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x159e…050ebacked Yes | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 13c | 111.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978d…5eddbacked Yes | 12c | 104.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd240…562cbacked Yes | 11c | 90.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 38c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…5106backed No | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 79c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?this page
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be 80 or higher?No won
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50–59?Yes won
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60–69?No won
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 70–79?No won
- Will "Jurassic World: Rebirth" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 40?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.