MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc878c5ea71037a5991d1a8501828b8bab7b54839be6dad049b2bcf1cf3d779d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,613
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 29,577$18,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,415.79 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 25,524$14,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,500 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 21,682$10,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,992.21 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 20,900$10,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,241.08 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 13,980$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,067.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 11,005$5,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,389.45 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 5,952$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.92 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 3,077$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395.42 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 2,707$1,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.46 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 2,284$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 2,038$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Chicago Cubs | 38c | 1,561$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 1,380$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.9 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Chicago Cubs | 50c | 1,125$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed3…7008backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 1,100$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 1,069$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.28 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,000$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 264 | 53.8%142 W · 122 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 955.94$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.18 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 810.19$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.69 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 690$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.1 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 673.19$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Chicago Cubs | 45c | 654.9$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.59 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 617.59$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 513 | 34.5%177 W · 336 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Chicago Cubs | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…3587backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 378.91$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadbb…b5c0backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 342$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 307.92$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.8 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 304.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Chicago Cubs | 49c | 300$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…2512backed Chicago Cubs | 50c | 258$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Chicago Cubs | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chicago Cubs | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Chicago Cubs | 31c | 193.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 180.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.87 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 168.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Chicago Cubs | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.62 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…bcd7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 73.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 32c | 61.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Chicago Cubs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 247 | 48.6%120 W · 127 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Chicago Cubs | 56c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Chicago Cubs | 48c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…3374backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…993dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.