MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d74e47eb3308f09d41f6b61605015833924ece5cdf9466fc918556aebdcbd3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 127,224$77,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,028.47 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 35,647$13,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,331.83 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 29,341$12,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,872.59 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 24,903$9,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,275.53 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 13,329$5,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,141.77 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 8,931$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525.1 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…af0abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 4,880$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,146.64 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 4,755$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.85 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 3,491$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 3,359$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.02 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 2,124$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.01 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,800$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,524$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.24 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 1,188$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.67 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 1,015$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.45 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 839.35$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.13 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 813.88$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.37 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 648.5$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.06 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 454$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.49 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 342.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 339.77$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.53 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 170$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7a…13abbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 142.57$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 123.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…24e8backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…d97abacked Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 82$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…3ef7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeccf…53cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9f…2a46backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf391…73c3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 43.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7815…f0e4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 38.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 34.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 32.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Los Angeles Angels | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…1180backed Los Angeles Angels | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.