MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141179f012fa8e612bf73f2f3c056b0afa1c4b56d077850a8d32c7f831080ba1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Texas Rangers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0317…6289backed Texas Rangers | 47c | 9,729$4,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,609.7 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Athletics | 44c | 9,054$3,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 4,669$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.87 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 4,662$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.26 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Athletics | 55c | 4,526$2,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.91 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Athletics | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 1,358 | 50.8%690 W · 668 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Athletics | 43c | 1,981$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ff…6c51backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 1,950$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Athletics | 44c | 999.76$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.87 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Athletics | 44c | 976.94$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.09 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 43c | 958.33$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas Rangers | 72c | 767$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Athletics | 45c | 550.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.11 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Athletics | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 348.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…14cabacked Athletics | 44c | 325$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9145backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 307.02$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 41c | 301.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd43e…a9acbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 292.98$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Athletics | 43c | 276$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…b744backed Athletics | 44c | 275$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Athletics | 42c | 262.09$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.01 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Athletics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Athletics | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Athletics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 26c | 190.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.38 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 107.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 754 | 53.2%401 W · 353 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Athletics | 43c | 69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 52.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 45.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…5e12backed Texas Rangers | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd336…8d2ebacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 40.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Texas Rangers | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 31.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 24.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Texas Rangers | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 435 | 42.1%183 W · 252 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.