MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaeb186d5ab33a959b1c5330cb642bb1dd6b26db12695693c4af264a3c39e1bb8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5be…7c6ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 44,697$28,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,917.41 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 17,103$5,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,124.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 6,893$2,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.03 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 3,276$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.78 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 3,099$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,958.54 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Los Angeles Angels | 27c | 3,075$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.12 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 2,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.81 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 2,042$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.6 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 32c | 1,536$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.52 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 1,282$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.34 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 1,270$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.3 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 871.87$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 776$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.64 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 759.49$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 414.86$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.51 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 200$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 194$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.1 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 179.7$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 153.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Los Angeles Angels | 61c | 148.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.39 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 142.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Los Angeles Angels | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 73 | 24.7%18 W · 55 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 97.02$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 53.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Los Angeles Angels | 41c | 44.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 36.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…cbfdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 30.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…b458backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 29.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…929dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 29.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 28.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…e0eabacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 22.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…501abacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 18.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…ec63backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 18.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0f…42ebbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 17.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6092…4515backed Los Angeles Angels | 67c | 17.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…062ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 16.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…a5fbbacked Los Angeles Angels | 63c | 16.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…ff3abacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 16.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f9…365bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 16.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd637…b810backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 16.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7526…207dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 16.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7b…60bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 15.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bf…134fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 15.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc87e…fbd2backed Los Angeles Angels | 66c | 15.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.