Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc1b7a20985d648399f15de0f39aae284ac789e9072817a847f9ea6d6378d507
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 1,740$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.59 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 3c | 1,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 449 | 33.6%151 W · 298 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.08 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 80c | 903.6$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.72 | 90 | 71.1%64 W · 26 L | +12.2wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 57c | 857.78$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.08 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 59c | 780$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.29 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 21c | 775$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 20c | 646.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.22 | 1,543 | 40.1%618 W · 925 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 23c | 590.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 369 | 42.5%157 W · 212 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…b8f1backed Under | 77c | 590.91$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 80c | 374.6$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 63c | 362.79$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.17 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ef…b630backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 80c | 180.86$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8210…1942backed Under | 46c | 163.04$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 87.39$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 87.37$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0363…d67abacked Over | 61c | 81.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 22c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 21c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 51.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 24c | 51.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 48c | 50.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Under | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 23c | 47.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.24 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 44c | 41.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 77c | 38.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 61c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to AdvancePFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.