Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa22c0749c970585b0a602953f8112117c75e11ec3b0bb14a2d14c85e9b58dd55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 11,646$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,638.01 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 3,076$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.7 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 2,794$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.84 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 57c | 2,214$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.98 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 2,027$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.58 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 1,675$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.75 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 57c | 1,372$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.04 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 1,005$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.82 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 604.19$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.7 | 164 | 40.9%67 W · 97 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 59c | 455.96$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.01 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 57c | 275.56$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.24 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 65c | 228.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 77c | 205$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 37c | 203.24$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 50c | 200.08$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 65c | 113.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 109.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 63c | 102.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.44 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 41c | 102.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 38c | 92.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 38c | 82.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 58c | 67.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 28c | 62.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 66c | 58.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819a…4b03backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 55c | 42.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Under | 57c | 40.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 42c | 37.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 120 | 39.2%47 W · 73 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 43c | 30.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 64c | 29.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 63c | 18.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 17.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to AdvancePFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.