Champions League · resolved market
Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64809fa55bb244570cfeca708cc6caed53addfe66a5c2c0e37d2affe0ca9b9b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Under | 74c | 7,509$5,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.76 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 6,768$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,579.93 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 10c | 3,520$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 3,306$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.21 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 2,283$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.49 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 9c | 2,274$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.69 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Over | 77c | 2,099$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.98 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 1,767$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.75 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 36c | 1,687$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.28 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 9c | 1,067$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.02 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 9c | 999.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 47c | 990.27$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.84 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Under | 56c | 462.26$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.39 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 386.3$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.15 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 46c | 378.49$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.87 | 308 | 56.8%175 W · 133 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 7c | 357.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Over | 9c | 356.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 91 | 19.8%18 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 44c | 325.64$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.62 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Over | 52c | 310$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 601 | 36.9%222 W · 379 L | -28.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 41c | 239.15$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.15 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +173.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 37c | 199.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 47c | 197.8$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 9c | 172.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 179 | 7.8%14 W · 165 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x834c…593abacked Over | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…08edbacked Over | 70c | 165.71$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 39c | 148$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 36c | 147.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ee1abacked Under | 67c | 147.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 44c | 106.42$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 76c | 90.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.96 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fea…f2c9backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 45c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 135 | 67.4%91 W · 44 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 44c | 54.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa560…767dbacked Under | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 63c | 48.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 73c | 42.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 36c | 34.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 50c | 28.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 56c | 28.12$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 61c | 27.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 25.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 63c | 20.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc2…56a9backed Under | 64c | 15.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: PFK Levski Sofia (-1.5)Universitatea Craiova CS won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-1.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Spread: Universitatea Craiova CS (-2.5)PFK Levski Sofia won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: PFK Levski Sofia O/U 2.5Under won
- Universitatea Craiova CS vs. PFK Levski Sofia: Team to AdvancePFK Levski Sofia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.