Tennis · resolved market
Kosice: Jay Clarke vs Milos Karol
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f1deb9ec4a665a823fa4aa79378c0cf5e0a1fd2b764e829bfa998d24d957532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milos Karolof Jay Clarke, Milos Karol
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Milos Karol | 40c | 3,593$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.86 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 2,218$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milos Karol | 43c | 2,170$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.19 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Milos Karol | 49c | 1,120$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.04 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milos Karol | 45c | 1,052$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.27 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Milos Karol | 27c | 934.89$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.11 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Milos Karol | 13c | 700$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.65 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Milos Karol | 57c | 671.53$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.18 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Milos Karol | 26c | 656.05$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.48 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Jay Clarke | 80c | 620.31$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.76 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Jay Clarke | 72c | 566.03$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 160 | 55%88 W · 72 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Jay Clarke | 8c | 543.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.33 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | +18.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milos Karol | 38c | 510$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Milos Karol | 6c | 496.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.95 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Jay Clarke | 71c | 489.53$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.37 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Jay Clarke | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed Milos Karol | 51c | 429.41$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.41 | 214 | 51.4%110 W · 104 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Milos Karol | 45c | 420$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 737 | 48%354 W · 383 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Jay Clarke | 60c | 403.61$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 678 | 38.3%260 W · 418 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jay Clarke | 53c | 399.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.01 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Jay Clarke | 48c | 372.37$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Milos Karol | 31c | 359.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 345.55$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milos Karol | 12c | 324.05$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.22 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Jay Clarke | 28c | 300.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.47 | 329 | 35%115 W · 214 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jay Clarke | 63c | 295.99$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.08 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Milos Karol | 79c | 286$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 351 | 87.7%308 W · 43 L | +66.4wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 266.66$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Jay Clarke | 19c | 263.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 16.4%9 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Jay Clarke | 27c | 239.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.66 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milos Karol | 52c | 230.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Jay Clarke | 73c | 220$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Jay Clarke | 54c | 202.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Milos Karol | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Milos Karol | 47c | 193.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jay Clarke | 51c | 182.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Jay Clarke | 14c | 174.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.06 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Milos Karol | 13c | 150$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Milos Karol | 71c | 147.3$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Jay Clarke | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Jay Clarke | 71c | 137.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.08 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Jay Clarke | 65c | 132.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.34 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Milos Karol | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…34d8backed Jay Clarke | 29c | 121.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…7eb7backed Milos Karol | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +412.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Milos Karol | 27c | 103$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Milos Karol | 36c | 102.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.56 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milos Karol | 53c | 100.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.79 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Milos Karol | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Milos Karol | 52c | 94.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.84 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 87.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.02 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Jay Clarke | 28c | 86.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Milos Karol | 51c | 86.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Jay Clarke | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 49.3%139 W · 143 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1074…a25dbacked Milos Karol | 39c | 71.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Milos Karol | 51c | 69.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Jay Clarke | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Milos Karol | 37c | 53.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x831d…0705backed Jay Clarke | 76c | 49.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 265 | 63.8%169 W · 96 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jay Clarke | 63c | 45.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…a204backed Jay Clarke | 67c | 44.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Milos Karol | 33c | 39.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 38.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Milos Karol | 27c | 37.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Jay Clarke | 71c | 35.11$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Milos Karol | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jay Clarke | 51c | 34.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…cda7backed Milos Karol | 49c | 34.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 145 | 47.6%69 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42e…74b5backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 31.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Jay Clarke | 65c | 27.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe13…c286backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 22.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43f…5778backed Milos Karol | 66c | 22.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jay Clarke | 54c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3006…2c59backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 21.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jay Clarke | 62c | 21.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Jay Clarke | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Jay Clarke | 74c | 18.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Milos Karol | 66c | 17.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.