TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Merida Open Akron: Cristina Bucsa vs Marina Stakusic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucsaof Bucsa, Stakusic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$139,404
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$157,002

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,404 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Stakusic20c11,863$2,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,392.752,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Bucsa79c10,170$8,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.586550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Stakusic44c7,985$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.8941645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Bucsa64c7,811$5,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.626,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x869f…7a8bbacked Bucsa57c6,162$3,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Bucsa53c6,016$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.3976546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stakusic31c5,217$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.917,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Stakusic24c4,155$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.222,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Stakusic17c4,061$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.61,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Stakusic42c3,809$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,599.9776140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Bucsa76c3,718$2,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.978,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Stakusic43c3,060$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3081,12542.8%482 W · 643 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Stakusic34c2,947$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bucsa75c1,696$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.5181349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Bucsa53c1,361$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8933955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bucsa73c1,251$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.7311,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stakusic26c1,183$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.521,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Stakusic38c1,181$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.641,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bucsa56c1,160$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.281,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed2…4671backed Stakusic44c1,138$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Stakusic2c784$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.872,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Bucsa56c782$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.081,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Stakusic32c736.99$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.846,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Stakusic25c714$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Bucsa55c657.67$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.957135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Stakusic24c631$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6713647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Stakusic21c629.2$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Bucsa69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18669249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Stakusic33c574.29$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.49955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Stakusic30c556.47$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.22,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Bucsa58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.2425544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Bucsa80c501.92$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3418156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stakusic34c475.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.0925957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Bucsa68c473.59$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.3219052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stakusic21c450$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2865647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Stakusic28c443.11$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.592,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Stakusic47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20078452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Stakusic27c411.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.492,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaf3…3bf8backed Stakusic43c406.64$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.366930.4%21 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+19.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Stakusic43c389.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.691,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bucsa57c364.82$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8353058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Stakusic29c343.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.852037.7%196 W · 324 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Stakusic34c338.98$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Bucsa63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4611247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Stakusic29c292$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9228552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Stakusic34c286$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1599044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Stakusic46c282.26$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9938133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Bucsa57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1651052%265 W · 245 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcda0…6d11backed Bucsa57c262.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3117646.6%82 W · 94 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Bucsa57c238.09$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.3842046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b4…150ebacked Stakusic50c237.94$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0914947%70 W · 79 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba9…bfaebacked Stakusic26c227.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6017754.8%97 W · 80 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Stakusic30c221.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.446,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Stakusic43c205.2$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2479062.2%491 W · 299 L+25.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Stakusic20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49b9…9613backed Bucsa72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612664.3%81 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Stakusic19c180.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3527935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Stakusic41c180$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.827344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Stakusic21c175.67$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8918133.1%60 W · 121 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Bucsa56c150$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6624454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc990…80bbbacked Stakusic34c146.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stakusic28c144.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.914,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860d…3c72backed Stakusic45c141.1$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.56857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Stakusic43c106.98$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Bucsa57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Stakusic43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4334154.3%185 W · 156 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Bucsa58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4277967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbb0…4c2dbacked Bucsa63c95.13$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Stakusic16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed Stakusic43c90.6$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.968637.2%32 W · 54 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Bucsa58c86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1260055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Stakusic36c84.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4222747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Stakusic39c80.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Stakusic29c80.44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.269051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x752e…ecbfbacked Stakusic44c79.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Stakusic28c60.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.133,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Stakusic49c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.41,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa288…401cbacked Bucsa75c59.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.942085%17 W · 3 L+6.3wins+0.31per pick54cpaid+80.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Bucsa55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.552,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Stakusic35c53.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.117,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Bucsa53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.54548.9%22 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Bucsa65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.528964.4%186 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stakusic44c45.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.021,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Stakusic44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Stakusic45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Stakusic28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2518020.6%37 W · 143 L-14.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Stakusic44c36.36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Stakusic44c34.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156758.2%39 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Stakusic43c33.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.451,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Bucsa57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.929947.5%142 W · 157 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Stakusic38c29.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed Bucsa76c26.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.327455.4%41 W · 33 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e9d…9e33backed Bucsa53c24.53$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.535164.7%33 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick65cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stakusic47c24.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.536,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Bucsa56c24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.467,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Bucsa68c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.065554.5%30 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Bucsa72c20.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7127546.5%128 W · 147 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Bucsa75c17.92$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.486657.6%38 W · 28 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.