Tennis · resolved market
Lugano: Maxim Mrva vs Michael Mmoh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x02f96676127c9988dd81a1c79c24917cd8091642b04648e007ebbeb72e30d2b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mrvaof Mrva, Mmoh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Mrva | 43c | 6,973$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,973.15 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mrva | 33c | 6,014$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.89 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mmoh | 76c | 5,809$4,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,429.5 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mmoh | 54c | 5,027$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.7 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Mmoh | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Mmoh | 71c | 3,285$2,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.71 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Mrva | 50c | 2,530$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.08 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…a2c9backed Mmoh | 45c | 2,225$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Mrva | 26c | 1,757$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 125 | 53.6%67 W · 58 L | +12.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Mmoh | 74c | 1,757$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mrva | 23c | 1,249$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.62 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Mrva | 41c | 1,180$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.81 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Mrva | 16c | 1,089$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.61 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Mrva | 28c | 1,066$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.91 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920d…38adbacked Mrva | 47c | 1,063$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.88 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mmoh | 72c | 1,030$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.04 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mmoh | 73c | 960$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.6 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Mrva | 24c | 897.83$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.37 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Mmoh | 72c | 782$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.04 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Mrva | 28c | 416.46$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.63 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mrva | 36c | 352.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.24 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Mrva | 43c | 325$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe01a…0354backed Mrva | 41c | 312.59$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Mmoh | 74c | 305$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.5 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mmoh | 71c | 284.35$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.59 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Mmoh | 35c | 283.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…b4b3backed Mrva | 71c | 280.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.06 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mrva | 33c | 269.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Mrva | 36c | 263.23$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.25 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Mrva | 27c | 257.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.62 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mrva | 27c | 250$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Mrva | 27c | 238$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.74 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Mmoh | 75c | 228.91$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Mrva | 13c | 223.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mrva | 19c | 214.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e0…0d61backed Mmoh | 27c | 203.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 30cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Mrva | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e31…5e8ebacked Mrva | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mrva | 21c | 181.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.29 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mmoh | 25c | 171.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mrva | 28c | 168.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.42 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Mmoh | 73c | 154$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.73 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Mmoh | 76c | 137.29$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Mrva | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba8…11a2backed Mrva | 80c | 124.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 100 | 63%63 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mrva | 23c | 119.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Mrva | 28c | 107$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Mrva | 27c | 104$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Mrva | 27c | 101.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Mmoh | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Mmoh | 73c | 90.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 131 | 58%76 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Mrva | 28c | 81.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Mrva | 46c | 81.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.9 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Mmoh | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Mmoh | 72c | 80$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bee…31fdbacked Mrva | 21c | 76.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.62 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Mmoh | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Mmoh | 78c | 59.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.77 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Mmoh | 46c | 56.51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Mrva | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Mrva | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Mmoh | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mrva | 30c | 53.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mmoh | 47c | 51.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Mmoh | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mmoh | 60c | 47.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Mrva | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048b…cdb5backed Mrva | 41c | 41.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Mmoh | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mrva | 57c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Mmoh | 54c | 26.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Mmoh | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…49d3backed Mmoh | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Mmoh | 74c | 18.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f60…a419backed Mmoh | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Mmoh | 62c | 17.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Mrva | 77c | 15.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.