Tennis · resolved market
Pune: Edas Butvilas vs Tung-Lin Wu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd70bdcdd264e3c080d786685ae8549ec0fbde860809a105118df59488a39321
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Butvilasof Butvilas, Wu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Wu | 26c | 2,398$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.95 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Butvilas | 56c | 1,911$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.37 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Butvilas | 55c | 1,680$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.82 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wu | 19c | 1,633$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.49 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f1…93d9backed Butvilas | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Wu | 25c | 1,223$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.39 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Wu | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Wu | 43c | 753.77$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.72 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wu | 45c | 731.76$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.83 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Butvilas | 56c | 535.18$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.88 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Wu | 43c | 496.22$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.24 | 134 | 39.6%53 W · 81 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Wu | 33c | 231.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Wu | 44c | 216$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Wu | 31c | 197.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Wu | 42c | 195.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…b59cbacked Butvilas | 60c | 183.33$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Butvilas | 55c | 180.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8235…b2d0backed Butvilas | 60c | 179.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wu | 35c | 176$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Butvilas | 62c | 174$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.05 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Wu | 44c | 172.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Wu | 43c | 164.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbb…3b4bbacked Butvilas | 65c | 154.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Wu | 19c | 135.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 145 | 41.4%60 W · 85 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Wu | 38c | 133.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6249…cee9backed Butvilas | 59c | 128.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Butvilas | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Wu | 44c | 126.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wu | 44c | 98.47$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Butvilas | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Butvilas | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Wu | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Butvilas | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Butvilas | 56c | 81.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Butvilas | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 114 | 65.8%75 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Butvilas | 72c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Wu | 46c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Wu | 43c | 72.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Butvilas | 59c | 68.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Wu | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Butvilas | 54c | 66.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wu | 42c | 66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d3…25f8backed Wu | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Wu | 35c | 63.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Wu | 45c | 57.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Wu | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d0…a871backed Wu | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Wu | 40c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Wu | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Butvilas | 62c | 44.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Wu | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Butvilas | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Butvilas | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wu | 38c | 39.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed Wu | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63a6…338ebacked Butvilas | 55c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…3ab1backed Wu | 45c | 30.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…d360backed Wu | 45c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Wu | 42c | 24.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920e…de41backed Wu | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a3…989bbacked Butvilas | 55c | 24.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf982…49b4backed Butvilas | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Butvilas | 71c | 14.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pune: Edas Butvilas vs Tung-Lin Wuthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Butvilas vs WuButvilas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.