TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c06…7812

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
69
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barletta: Remy Bertola vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Grand Prix Hassan II: Henrique Rocha vs Marco Trungellitibacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.33
Grand Prix Hassan II, Qualification: Henrique Rocha vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Henrique Rocha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.09
Yokkaichi: Rio Noguchi vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open: Caty McNally vs Rebeka Masarovabacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Miami Open, Qualification: Rafael Jodar vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Zadar: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jonas Forejtekbacked Jonas Forejtek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Miami Open, Qualification: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Arthur Ferybacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Miami Open, Qualification: Yunchaokete Bu vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Yunchaokete Bu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
Delray Beach Open: Taylor Fritz vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Lille: Jerome Kym vs Titouan Droguetbacked Kym · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Tsitsipas vs. Rublev: Match O/U 23.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Open Sud de France: Tallon Griekspoor vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Transylvania Open: Daria Snigur vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Alexandra Eala vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Sabalenka vs. Rybakina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmicbacked Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Australian Open Women's: Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lysbacked Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$30
Set Handicap: Opelka (-1.5) vs Kjaer (+1.5)backed Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Marozsan vs. Rinderknech: Match O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Hobart International: Taylah Preston vs Iva Jovicbacked Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+109.4%+$10.94
Cocciaretto vs. Ruzic: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Australian Open Men's: Giulio Zeppieri vs Rei Sakamotobacked Sakamoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+106.1%+$21.22
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Yousri Belgaroui vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Mansur Abdul-Malik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$13.03
UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.85
UFC Fight Night: Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Chiasson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Ramiz Brahimaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC Fight Night: Mario Bautista vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
UFC Fight Night: Rizvan Kuniev vs. Jailton Almeida (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Kuniev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+150%+$30
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 325: Sebastian Szalay vs. Keiichiro Nakamura (Featherweight, Early Prelims)backed Nakamura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+127.3%+$38.18
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+64.7%+$12.93
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Krylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
All 18 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
NRFI: New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
NRFI: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.76
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.06
NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.92
NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Metsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.01
New York Yankees vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$9.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.