TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Australian Open Women's: Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lys

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cirsteaof Cirstea, Lys
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,285
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,285 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x617b…a499backed Lys51c2,992$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,516.045453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea54c2,683$1,456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.838,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cirstea49c2,529$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,279.541,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cirstea53c1,919$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.8644754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9da8…e5afbacked Cirstea26c1,784$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cirstea57c1,417$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.617,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Lys58c1,340$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.5811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Lys50c1,317$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.31,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Lys49c1,280$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.21,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Lys45c1,165$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52899044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lys58c940.02$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.533,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…0ec8backed Cirstea54c925.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9210043%43 W · 57 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lys48c865.03$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.671,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d07…0351backed Lys51c784.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013844.2%61 W · 77 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Cirstea36c728.46$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2219023.2%44 W · 146 L-10.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Cirstea31c636.25$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.251,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e78…52b5backed Lys70c572.04$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009348.4%45 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Lys50c501.39$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9949632.3%160 W · 336 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Lys47c481.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1896035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Lys46c431.39$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.6128139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Cirstea64c416$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.452,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cirstea50c408.8$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.424448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cirstea50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Lys45c399.33$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.0122236.9%82 W · 140 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cirstea49c393.31$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.597,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b4…0f65backed Lys34c380$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.23625%9 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Lys50c379.63$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4647639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Cirstea55c364.89$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.8938348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Lys50c355.56$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.788241.5%34 W · 48 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-24.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Cirstea50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17542141.8%176 W · 245 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bc3…02e2backed Lys68c350$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2381060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Lys50c316.29$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.934,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd96…e623backed Cirstea79c277.4$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5eb8…5466backed Cirstea55c227.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.273441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked Cirstea61c222.63$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.365232.7%17 W · 35 L-6.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Lys49c213.31$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10536038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Lys49c202.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cirstea50c202.49$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.2576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Lys49c202.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1660…9d86backed Lys49c202.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008964%57 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Lys60c171.99$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8726244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Cirstea24c168.62$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.82,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Lys48c160.83$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7911122.5%25 W · 86 L-16.1wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-63.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe889…d0c3backed Lys50c160$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8017432.2%56 W · 118 L-15.1wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Lys68c158.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7927058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Cirstea52c143.67$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.6751849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cirstea52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…d831backed Cirstea52c121.29$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.221540%6 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-33.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcb9…f39abacked Lys73c120.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2660661.2%371 W · 235 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Lys50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+37.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea43c119$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.452,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7fb…f935backed Lys49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506055%33 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd8…0b62backed Lys49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c68…c9b3backed Cirstea28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+71.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8476backed Lys53c99.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.032462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea54c94$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.2470465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Lys44c90.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Cirstea63c87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1912344.7%55 W · 68 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Lys44c86.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.342,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9781…f9edbacked Lys50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Lys45c77.92$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.393935.9%14 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Lys55c76.01$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0693048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Lys50c70$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3599139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc688…5987backed Lys48c69.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.219744.3%43 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c06…7812backed Cirstea50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Lys60c57.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.492,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7945…f667backed Lys49c55.22$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.06850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b1…73b2backed Lys47c53.28$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.048549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b0…8bc6backed Cirstea46c52.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.311942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Lys49c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519129.8%57 W · 134 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lys50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Cirstea51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.536349.9%181 W · 182 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Lys49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.515751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Lys46c47.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9536032.5%117 W · 243 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe901…3139backed Lys56c46.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6923832.4%77 W · 161 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656b…afbcbacked Lys59c45.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.76666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Cirstea42c45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2569249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Cirstea49c41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9190064.3%579 W · 321 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f3…f487backed Cirstea50c40.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.12268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+27%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Lys41c40.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5731434.4%108 W · 206 L-25.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2953…2ed5backed Cirstea50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2035051.1%179 W · 171 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148c…d82bbacked Lys50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cirstea36c38.66$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.7788455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x901b…59efbacked Cirstea52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4629519.7%58 W · 237 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8339…caa9backed Cirstea52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4616355.8%91 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118b…7f7cbacked Lys40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe563…0cf5backed Lys50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…2a64backed Lys43c29.77$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-46.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Cirstea73c27.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.34553.3%24 W · 21 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed Lys53c21.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.35944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9004…1d2cbacked Lys69c15.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8721455.1%118 W · 96 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Lys79c14.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.