Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5970e33cd860d8dcae97f3817fdf9e6f1123c1021bcb16455565241d9fbdc7a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cirsteaof Cirstea, Lys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x617b…a499backed Lys | 51c | 2,992$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cirstea | 54c | 2,683$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.83 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Cirstea | 49c | 2,529$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.54 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cirstea | 53c | 1,919$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.86 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9da8…e5afbacked Cirstea | 26c | 1,784$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cirstea | 57c | 1,417$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.61 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lys | 58c | 1,340$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.58 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Lys | 50c | 1,317$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.3 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Lys | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.2 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lys | 45c | 1,165$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lys | 58c | 940.02$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.53 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Cirstea | 54c | 925.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.92 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lys | 48c | 865.03$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.67 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Lys | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Cirstea | 36c | 728.46$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Cirstea | 31c | 636.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.25 | 1,853 | 48.4%897 W · 956 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Lys | 70c | 572.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lys | 50c | 501.39$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Lys | 47c | 481.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.18 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Lys | 46c | 431.39$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.61 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cirstea | 64c | 416$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.45 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Cirstea | 50c | 408.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.4 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cirstea | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Lys | 45c | 399.33$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cirstea | 49c | 393.31$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.59 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b4…0f65backed Lys | 34c | 380$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.2 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1574…64c9backed Lys | 50c | 379.63$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.46 | 476 | 39.1%186 W · 290 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Cirstea | 55c | 364.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Lys | 50c | 355.56$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.78 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cirstea | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 421 | 41.8%176 W · 245 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc3…02e2backed Lys | 68c | 350$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lys | 50c | 316.29$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd96…e623backed Cirstea | 79c | 277.4$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…5466backed Cirstea | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked Cirstea | 61c | 222.63$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.36 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd552…5ebebacked Lys | 49c | 213.31$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 360 | 38.9%140 W · 220 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Lys | 49c | 202.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Cirstea | 50c | 202.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd571…d24abacked Lys | 49c | 202.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 43.2%89 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Lys | 49c | 202.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Lys | 60c | 171.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 262 | 44.7%117 W · 145 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Cirstea | 24c | 168.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.8 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Lys | 48c | 160.83$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.79 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Lys | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 32.2%56 W · 118 L | -15.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Lys | 68c | 158.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Cirstea | 52c | 143.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cirstea | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Cirstea | 52c | 121.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…f39abacked Lys | 73c | 120.28$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.26 | 606 | 61.2%371 W · 235 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Lys | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cirstea | 43c | 119$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…f935backed Lys | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…0b62backed Lys | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Cirstea | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Lys | 53c | 99.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Cirstea | 54c | 94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Lys | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca8…db1fbacked Cirstea | 63c | 87$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Lys | 44c | 86.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9781…f9edbacked Lys | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Lys | 45c | 77.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lys | 55c | 76.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Lys | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 991 | 39.9%395 W · 596 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Lys | 48c | 69.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c06…7812backed Cirstea | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lys | 60c | 57.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…f667backed Lys | 49c | 55.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Lys | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…8bc6backed Cirstea | 46c | 52.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Lys | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 191 | 29.8%57 W · 134 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lys | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Cirstea | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Lys | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Lys | 46c | 47.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 360 | 32.5%117 W · 243 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe901…3139backed Lys | 56c | 46.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656b…afbcbacked Lys | 59c | 45.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Cirstea | 42c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Cirstea | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f3…f487backed Cirstea | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Lys | 41c | 40.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Cirstea | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 350 | 51.1%179 W · 171 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x148c…d82bbacked Lys | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cirstea | 36c | 38.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Cirstea | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8339…caa9backed Cirstea | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…7f7cbacked Lys | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe563…0cf5backed Lys | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Lys | 43c | 29.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cirstea | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Cirstea | 73c | 27.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Lys | 53c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Lys | 69c | 15.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Lys | 79c | 14.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Sorana Cirstea vs Eva Lysthis page
- Cirstea vs. Lys: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Cirstea vs. Lys: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cirstea vs. Lys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs LysLys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.