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Tennis · resolved market

New Delhi: Felix Gill vs Michael Geerts

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gillof Gill, Geerts
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$70,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Gill34c7,809$2,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,139.872,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Geerts62c7,314$4,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,538.0355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Gill28c7,244$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,244.4368026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Geerts80c5,541$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.17357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Geerts70c4,208$2,945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.3966258.9%390 W · 272 L-32.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Geerts45c3,222$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.444,51051.7%2,333 W · 2,177 L+135.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Geerts32c2,306$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Geerts62c1,964$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.41,13650%568 W · 568 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Geerts51c1,960$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.619135.6%68 W · 123 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+14.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Gill52c1,483$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718.322,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Gill26c896.74$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.7219938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Gill33c872.27$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.4211123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Gill42c749.99$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.54,09039.8%1,628 W · 2,462 L+95.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Geerts70c730.46$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.377169%49 W · 22 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Gill51c642.97$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.774,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Gill59c619.57$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5724060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72a7…1493backed Geerts18c565.67$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.21633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Gill26c385.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.521,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Geerts48c363.03$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8828762.4%179 W · 108 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c6b…e258backed Geerts12c339.83$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Gill4c337.23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.741010%1 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick1cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Geerts26c311.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7193048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Gill4c300$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2884829.2%14 W · 34 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+273.8%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x12e8…2cecbacked Gill9c300$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2731241.7%5 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.36per pick5cpaid+836.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Geerts56c292.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.9333346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…d837backed Gill10c270$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+4.2wins+0.70per pick14cpaid+691.5%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Geerts40c238.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Gill46c236.52$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.7229637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Gill44c227.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.672,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Gill45c217.62$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.662,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…17c3backed Gill9c214.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.122045%9 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.32per pick13cpaid+273.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Geerts56c214.29$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0676…f0f0backed Geerts57c204.93$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8120552.7%108 W · 97 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5661…6323backed Geerts75c202.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9710267.6%69 W · 33 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Gill43c178.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.077,77447.8%3,715 W · 4,059 L+40.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7775…b9d5backed Geerts73c164.38$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204468.2%30 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Geerts65c164$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.670465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Geerts12c163.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Geerts61c150.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.534,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Geerts54c148.79$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…4167backed Geerts75c144.95$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7511653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4d5fbacked Geerts77c141.88$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f25…8c36backed Geerts57c131.78$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755373.6%39 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Geerts34c131.73$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.263,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6f64…2aacbacked Geerts77c129.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007452.7%39 W · 35 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af3…caf2backed Geerts23c125.61$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Geerts11c121.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6130741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Gill65c116.7$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.966,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Gill44c113.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.611,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9fe…e4bebacked Gill45c110.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.148557.6%49 W · 36 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7646…b2a1backed Gill23c108.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.969938.4%38 W · 61 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Geerts32c108.73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3584736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Geerts70c106.13$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2947057.2%269 W · 201 L+16.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gill73c101.26$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.258,05750.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L+90.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c98…6f55backed Gill80c100.01$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201540%6 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-38.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x617f…cde5backed Geerts74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48f9…cd95backed Geerts76c90$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.14667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.2wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0edc…82aabacked Gill26c88.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1a…16b7backed Geerts57c87.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50875%6 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Gill43c83.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.633,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Geerts79c81.06$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.046841.2%28 W · 40 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Geerts21c80.18$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Gill24c65.86$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1631941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Geerts23c65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…d11fbacked Geerts18c64.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.548853.4%47 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Geerts56c58.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.871,98146.2%916 W · 1,065 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Geerts55c56.24$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,34846.5%1,092 W · 1,256 L+54.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Geerts80c54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.121,16144.3%514 W · 647 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Geerts56c53.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c6…737abacked Geerts80c50$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4024348.1%117 W · 126 L-25.0wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Gill43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.569051.2%353 W · 337 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Geerts57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.523865.5%156 W · 82 L+31.3wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Geerts43c47.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.459954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…ce8cbacked Gill44c46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761040%4 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Gill44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4517354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Gill48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.671,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Geerts62c39.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3952460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fd…3060backed Geerts79c36.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Geerts57c28.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1642358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf044…6765backed Geerts55c28.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.412147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f4d…f2fbbacked Geerts74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Geerts54c27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.581,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Gill44c26.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.098756.3%49 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Geerts74c26.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2041272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95dc…4b45backed Geerts56c24.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.722152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fff…fd6fbacked Geerts79c20.25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Geerts79c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.879952.9%423 W · 376 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.