Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9fd1d3f9305ff4c05821644fc6e97581d81ce46b73faf6392273a2cd971f97
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Richmond Spiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,545
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Richmond Spiders | 9c | 1,334$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.53 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Richmond Spiders | 11c | 799.39$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Richmond Spiders | 21c | 675$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Richmond Spiders | 8c | 537$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Richmond Spiders | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Richmond Spiders | 3c | 453.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…783ebacked Richmond Spiders | 15c | 399.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5939…9b1dbacked Richmond Spiders | 4c | 286.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 17cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Richmond Spiders | 16c | 271.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Richmond Spiders | 20c | 249.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed VCU Rams | 76c | 210$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Richmond Spiders | 24c | 208.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf084…4b0ebacked Richmond Spiders | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Richmond Spiders | 24c | 196.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Richmond Spiders | 26c | 193.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed VCU Rams | 76c | 159$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Richmond Spiders | 11c | 154.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 74c | 151.81$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…f0ccbacked Richmond Spiders | 16c | 107.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Richmond Spiders | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders | 18c | 62.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Richmond Spiders | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed VCU Rams | 74c | 50.58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed VCU Rams | 67c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Richmond Spiders | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed VCU Rams | 77c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed VCU Rams | 76c | 25.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked VCU Rams | 63c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed VCU Rams | 74c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spidersthis page
- Spread: VCU Rams (-7.5)VCU Rams won
- VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 155.5Under won
- VCU Rams vs. Richmond Spiders: O/U 156.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.