TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Bearcatsof Utah Utes, Cincinnati Bearcats
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,031
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,692

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,031 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfa0b…9672backed Utah Utes15c10,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Utah Utes35c6,023$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,136.5612754.3%69 W · 58 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes14c5,084$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.055,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Bearcats71c3,412$2,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.232,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Cincinnati Bearcats69c2,954$2,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.871,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf9…5b10backed Utah Utes39c2,750$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Bearcats65c2,154$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Cincinnati Bearcats64c1,975$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.2641752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Utah Utes16c1,778$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.142,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3808…b5b8backed Utah Utes16c1,597$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats29c1,525$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.581,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cincinnati Bearcats60c1,241$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.562,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Utah Utes10c999.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Utah Utes14c901.52$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9837441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Utah Utes26c780.12$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.83023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf60d…761abacked Utah Utes13c760$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82544%11 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Cincinnati Bearcats39c752.64$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.0969142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Utah Utes37c733.38$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.441,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Utah Utes15c717.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.066550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3be…c163backed Cincinnati Bearcats35c703.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.842445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c636.49$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.023,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Utah Utes13c576.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7556444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Utah Utes37c546.53$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.954,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Utah Utes16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7537142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Cincinnati Bearcats24c491.55$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.192,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Cincinnati Bearcats26c451.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.4922157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff7c…c36abacked Utah Utes14c447$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.58175.9%1 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick27cpaid-60.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Utah Utes33c418.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.716135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Cincinnati Bearcats64c414$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2839742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Utah Utes30c405.27$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5812230.3%37 W · 85 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats70c395.27$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.581,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed0…beacbacked Utah Utes14c374.96$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cincinnati Bearcats55c365.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6668254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Utah Utes39c359.74$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9de…90ebbacked Utah Utes16c313.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Utah Utes17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa005…6646backed Cincinnati Bearcats35c284$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0712540.8%51 W · 74 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Cincinnati Bearcats39c256.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6720234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes15c215.69$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.425,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats77c202.12$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.867540%30 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Utah Utes16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.822,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Cincinnati Bearcats71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5810447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4814151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Utah Utes36c191.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.21,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Utah Utes38c176.18$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.951533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats58c166.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.652,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Utah Utes14c166.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.073138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Utah Utes69c162.87$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1124973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Utah Utes13c157.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2024649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Cincinnati Bearcats66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.281850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6312…f94ebacked Utah Utes37c150$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.54740.4%19 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Utah Utes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Utah Utes70c128.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.271,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd25c…9c78backed Utah Utes18c125.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1780%0 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats68c125$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4014062.9%88 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Cincinnati Bearcats66c123.85$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.1971655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Bearcats54c120.01$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.731,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Utah Utes24c115.82$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.298641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cincinnati Bearcats51c108.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.131,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Cincinnati Bearcats48c101.53$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8548051%245 W · 235 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Utah Utes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.962,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Utah Utes13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Utah Utes31c91.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1394036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Cincinnati Bearcats65c84.61$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Utah Utes27c70.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x68c4…d7dfbacked Utah Utes15c67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0517634.7%61 W · 115 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked Utah Utes17c63.66$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9119332.1%62 W · 131 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Utah Utes22c62.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.695350.9%27 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Utah Utes45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2927358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Utes32c58.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.371,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats53c56.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.221,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Cincinnati Bearcats73c52.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5220248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…453dbacked Utah Utes76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409849%48 W · 50 L-8.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x138a…8197backed Cincinnati Bearcats77c51.45$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.833865.8%25 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Utah Utes45c43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3544146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Utah Utes33c42.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9913445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cincinnati Bearcats73c38.52$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.431057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Cincinnati Bearcats43c34.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2855840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad5b…d645backed Cincinnati Bearcats69c32.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.042259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Utah Utes64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Utah Utes57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.144955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32d9…3fcebacked Utah Utes47c28.09$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-69.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Cincinnati Bearcats70c26.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.941060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f4…4effbacked Cincinnati Bearcats64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.447751.9%40 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Cincinnati Bearcats56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.686154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289d…ed57backed Cincinnati Bearcats70c21.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.43757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick72cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf34a…b1a1backed Cincinnati Bearcats63c19.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-40.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23e0…ee84backed Cincinnati Bearcats68c15.96$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.113735.1%13 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.