Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b48cf51edc81ba47f3afc543a2e9673c4b4036412c5bd9de20f8964dbb6b8cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,214
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,214 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Under | 53c | 22,368$11,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,587.02 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 45c | 17,660$7,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,955.22 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 46c | 7,271$3,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,364 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Under | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…de59backed Under | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.04 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 43c | 518.14$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 55c | 322.81$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…2ed2backed Under | 27c | 300$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5c…a4fcbacked Under | 25c | 272.97$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +4.8wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +124%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…dc5abacked Under | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 26cpaid | +59%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Under | 56c | 198.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.37 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 144.09$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7c…5f05backed Over | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 46c | 118$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 109$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb180…6518backed Over | 72c | 69.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 65.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec1…057cbacked Under | 57c | 56.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 44c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 41c | 38.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 46c | 35.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 58c | 30.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4a…7045backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 141.5this page
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-11.5)Utah Utes won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.