Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a846b266740b272c92b20b7fd210a8239ae39244aefda37d75ec2a68f93342
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utah Utesof Cincinnati Bearcats, Utah Utes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 53c | 570.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah Utes | 71c | 539.03$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Utah Utes | 48c | 500$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 14c | 499.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.94 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 54c | 485$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.82 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Utah Utes | 46c | 320.36$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.99 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Utah Utes | 50c | 275.1$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.6 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 208.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Utah Utes | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.99 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Utah Utes | 49c | 188.09$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…c37cbacked Utah Utes | 50c | 105$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a2…f94fbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Utah Utes | 55c | 96.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Utah Utes | 48c | 90.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.59 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Utah Utes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Utah Utes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Utah Utes | 47c | 65.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 50c | 65.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah Utes | 47c | 65.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Utah Utes | 64c | 50.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Utah Utes | 49c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 53c | 41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 33.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Utah Utes | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Cincinnati Bearcats | 57c | 26.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 51c | 21.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Utah Utes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Cincinnati Bearcats | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cincinnati Bearcats (-11.5)this page
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati BearcatsCincinnati Bearcats won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 140.5Under won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 141.5Under won
- Utah Utes vs. Cincinnati Bearcats: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.