Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ddf9d6435ee2d9e1a06fcfe61451866fac1b8e3119827fd28ce765a65fb86d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppersof Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 64c | 3,098$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.34 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 56c | 2,056$1,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.66 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 1,599$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.11 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 54c | 1,350$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.21 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 43c | 989.32$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.48 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 56c | 879.41$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.65 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 17c | 859.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…743dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 47c | 768.99$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.36 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 742.73$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.65 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 31c | 652.54$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.78 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 56c | 639.98$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.72 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 27c | 601.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.32 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 434.47$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 22c | 372$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 54c | 354.04$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd1…ec0ebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 28c | 226.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 28c | 207.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 40c | 199.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…7295backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 78c | 166.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 41c | 154$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 73c | 132.48$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 23 | 91.3%21 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.18per pick | 73cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 48c | 126.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 19c | 120.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…c3bfbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 70c | 108.57$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 28c | 103.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…a93cbacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 59c | 90.32$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 27c | 87.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 62c | 81.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.91 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb539…a3eabacked Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 28c | 80.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 14c | 75.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 75c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 84 | 60.7%51 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 19c | 67.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 58c | 66.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 60c | 57.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 72c | 53.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 71c | 52.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 273 | 58.6%160 W · 113 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…a901backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 26c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa80…79a3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 25c | 44.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 56c | 40.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da9…93b3backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | 37c | 38.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…8dfcbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 79c | 33.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 55c | 32.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x569d…ae11backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 69c | 31.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 61c | 28.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 74c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 64c | 24.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…8234backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 74cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58e0…be18backed Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.