TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Wagner Seahawks vs. Mercyhurst Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wagner Seahawksof Wagner Seahawks, Mercyhurst Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,658 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x57a8…6933backed Wagner Seahawks35c9,515$3,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.574649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Wagner Seahawks59c9,042$5,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,719.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Mercyhurst Lakers59c6,100$3,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,624.4646446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wagner Seahawks54c4,790$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,214.2849345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mercyhurst Lakers69c4,212$2,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.831,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers66c3,772$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,470.6630249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers21c2,687$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.671,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers46c1,995$909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mercyhurst Lakers26c1,732$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.491,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers53c1,304$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.441,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Mercyhurst Lakers68c1,128$763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762.721,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers29c1,001$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.982,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Wagner Seahawks33c1,000$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6708517.6%15 W · 70 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wagner Seahawks54c779.78$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.951,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers65c752.56$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.9781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Mercyhurst Lakers46c603.12$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.962,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Mercyhurst Lakers34c595$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.8949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Wagner Seahawks5c576.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.8514930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers66c573.51$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.882,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mercyhurst Lakers29c570.01$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.442,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Wagner Seahawks33c438.73$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.392321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers56c395.46$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.221,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers38c332.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.871,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Mercyhurst Lakers61c324.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6422157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Wagner Seahawks42c305.52$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.23,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Wagner Seahawks59c303.28$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.3525337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Wagner Seahawks34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1982,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers24c279.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.022,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Wagner Seahawks33c269.09$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5881528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Wagner Seahawks34c200$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1331,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Mercyhurst Lakers24c200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.37844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Wagner Seahawks32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Mercyhurst Lakers68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Wagner Seahawks56c197.85$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8893247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Mercyhurst Lakers45c197.83$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.631,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Wagner Seahawks31c192.64$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.4737835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Mercyhurst Lakers69c160$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.49845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers66c151.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18b…2ef2backed Wagner Seahawks77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.51764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Mercyhurst Lakers63c135.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3989645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Mercyhurst Lakers25c132.91$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.237346.6%34 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Wagner Seahawks61c132.69$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.511,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Wagner Seahawks69c130.86$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3270349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Wagner Seahawks55c123.41$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7636845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Mercyhurst Lakers67c122.53$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.11,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers60c110.91$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1587047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Wagner Seahawks69c100.03$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Wagner Seahawks31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7721937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wagner Seahawks30c87.43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.217627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Mercyhurst Lakers67c86.5$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.7243053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers69c85.51$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5935646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Wagner Seahawks34c84.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6342339.2%166 W · 257 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Mercyhurst Lakers66c82.9$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.711,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Mercyhurst Lakers29c78.23$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8618557.8%107 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers67c74.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…5b77backed Mercyhurst Lakers29c72.4$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.925844.8%26 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010736.4%39 W · 68 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Wagner Seahawks37c70$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.19035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Mercyhurst Lakers64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.464658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Mercyhurst Lakers30c59.03$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4670936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Mercyhurst Lakers66c55.81$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Wagner Seahawks37c53.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8312141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Wagner Seahawks54c51.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6352353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…1480backed Wagner Seahawks34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.111225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers34c48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.258549.4%42 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5904…940fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers67c45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.15263.5%33 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Wagner Seahawks35c44.9$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1955749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4c…17cebacked Wagner Seahawks41c43.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+146.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Wagner Seahawks36c43.27$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6621651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Mercyhurst Lakers56c39.64$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.25453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a26…7189backed Mercyhurst Lakers38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.182222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Wagner Seahawks37c31.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9916140.4%65 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Wagner Seahawks36c28.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45be…9b55backed Wagner Seahawks58c22.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322792.6%25 W · 2 L+6.9wins+0.25per pick67cpaid+41%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x049e…55b1backed Wagner Seahawks79c21.51$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.525168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Mercyhurst Lakers67c21.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2812748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf55c…a6abbacked Wagner Seahawks75c19.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8714171.6%101 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.