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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Stanford Cardinal vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deaconsof Stanford Cardinal, Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,873
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,214

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,873 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons62c1,922$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.432,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Stanford Cardinal37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.9922645.6%103 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons72c1,471$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.551,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Stanford Cardinal36c1,320$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.662,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Stanford Cardinal38c1,305$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025130.7%77 W · 174 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons46c1,209$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.75,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal49c1,139$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.484,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Stanford Cardinal57c1,126$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.562,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8348…de9fbacked Stanford Cardinal2c999.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20300%0 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons71c970.79$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.51,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c816.82$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.221,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons31c691.92$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.621,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stanford Cardinal62c681.12$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.951,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Stanford Cardinal38c669.44$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.8868254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons66c605.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.093762.2%23 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons50c536.52$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.83,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stanford Cardinal69c500.36$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.993,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons61c499.59$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8974152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons62c499.58$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8481453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons25c378.42$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.14,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons44c368.49$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.491,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons54c358.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.081,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Stanford Cardinal57c349.89$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0977142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons32c300$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9351…ef0fbacked Stanford Cardinal38c270$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.613743.8%60 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Stanford Cardinal4c259.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.058640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.122954.1%124 W · 105 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stanford Cardinal19c215.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.035,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Stanford Cardinal39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…eb6abacked Stanford Cardinal54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015733.1%52 W · 105 L-10.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stanford Cardinal49c146.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.741,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons62c145$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal47c138.08$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.93,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Stanford Cardinal37c135.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons59c134.37$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.652,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d48…eca0backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons32c105.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Stanford Cardinal38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ab1…d0eebacked Stanford Cardinal73c82.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-46.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Stanford Cardinal13c78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.331936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c77$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.491,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.527358.6%160 W · 113 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0819138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Stanford Cardinal38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646a…7eb2backed Stanford Cardinal67c42.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeac2…fd78backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons49c41.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.15453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Stanford Cardinal36c38.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9130249.3%149 W · 153 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…8b85backed Stanford Cardinal56c37.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…615cbacked Stanford Cardinal40c37.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Stanford Cardinal73c36.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.531,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons40c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c30.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2942751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons63c26.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons41c26.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8913845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Stanford Cardinal65c25.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Stanford Cardinal68c20.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2570349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Wake Forest Demon Deacons57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.691,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…05dfbacked Stanford Cardinal69c15.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.652951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa756…84d5backed Stanford Cardinal72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.