Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Montana Grizzlies vs. Idaho State Bengals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ee7fd54199f8bcd9aa9ca001157c5854aa64c308bdb83e669112b77b692638
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Idaho State Bengalsof Montana Grizzlies, Idaho State Bengals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,925
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,925 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 3,636$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.18 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 2,514$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.24 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Idaho State Bengals | 42c | 2,234$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.43 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Montana Grizzlies | 67c | 2,200$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,468.45 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 220 | 43.2%95 W · 125 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Montana Grizzlies | 1c | 1,970$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 1,799$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.87 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 1,409$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.69 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Montana Grizzlies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Montana Grizzlies | 51c | 891$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.42 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Montana Grizzlies | 55c | 848.99$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.86 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Montana Grizzlies | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Idaho State Bengals | 44c | 747.85$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.79 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 665$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.41 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Idaho State Bengals | 27c | 643.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.14 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Montana Grizzlies | 24c | 600$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.66 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Montana Grizzlies | 39c | 586.12$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Idaho State Bengals | 68c | 585.51$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.51 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Idaho State Bengals | 48c | 550$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Idaho State Bengals | 28c | 514.36$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.53 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 511.67$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.78 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 457.59$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.03 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Idaho State Bengals | 59c | 434.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.23 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 431.21$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.55 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 418.19$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 317.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 46c | 293.75$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Idaho State Bengals | 39c | 272$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.72 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Montana Grizzlies | 61c | 267.89$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.26 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Montana Grizzlies | 32c | 265.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Montana Grizzlies | 45c | 254.28$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.47 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Idaho State Bengals | 52c | 221.15$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 200$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 196$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Montana Grizzlies | 31c | 180$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.14 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Montana Grizzlies | 45c | 151.64$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Montana Grizzlies | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…fdbcbacked Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 149.63$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 144.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Montana Grizzlies | 63c | 143.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Idaho State Bengals | 54c | 142.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Montana Grizzlies | 58c | 103$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.49 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Idaho State Bengals | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Montana Grizzlies | 53c | 90.64$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 89.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 81.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.88 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ded…9d43backed Montana Grizzlies | 14c | 81.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Idaho State Bengals | 65c | 80.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Idaho State Bengals | 54c | 80.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 78.6$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Montana Grizzlies | 73c | 69.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Idaho State Bengals | 45c | 64.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 60.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.03 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 60.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Idaho State Bengals | 31c | 57.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.24 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Montana Grizzlies | 51c | 56.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Montana Grizzlies | 50c | 55.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5904…940fbacked Montana Grizzlies | 53c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 78c | 54.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 54.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Idaho State Bengals | 60c | 52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Idaho State Bengals | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…5f1fbacked Idaho State Bengals | 49c | 40.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…2e74backed Idaho State Bengals | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeac2…fd78backed Montana Grizzlies | 57c | 38.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Montana Grizzlies | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Montana Grizzlies | 50c | 35.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049e…55b1backed Idaho State Bengals | 57c | 33.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Idaho State Bengals | 49c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Idaho State Bengals | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Idaho State Bengals | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Montana Grizzlies | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Idaho State Bengals | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Montana Grizzlies | 55c | 20.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Idaho State Bengals | 69c | 15.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montana Grizzlies vs. Idaho State Bengalsthis page
- Spread: Montana Grizzlies (-1.5)Idaho State Bengals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.