Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5929af888568e29e5b479542af1f619e3b15eaccf8d72c8af7e41cc1f6b80b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida Gatorsof Florida Gators, Ole Miss Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 51,632$26,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,241.91 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Florida Gators | 48c | 18,888$9,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,821.76 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 15,238$7,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,771.53 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Florida Gators | 54c | 4,466$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.44 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 4,128$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,092.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Florida Gators | 49c | 3,265$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665.15 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida Gators | 51c | 2,643$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,308.24 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Florida Gators | 52c | 1,983$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.31 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 1,566$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.42 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ca…9de7backed Florida Gators | 52c | 953.14$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.51 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Florida Gators | 49c | 809.19$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.69 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Florida Gators | 54c | 495.02$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e3…2e82backed Florida Gators | 52c | 477.56$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.74 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 416.33$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.13 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 342.97$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 299.4$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.71 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Florida Gators | 50c | 223.03$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Florida Gators | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 50c | 154$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0a…c2c4backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 148.69$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.83 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 48c | 109.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Florida Gators | 49c | 101.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed Florida Gators | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Florida Gators | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Florida Gators | 48c | 73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.96 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Ole Miss Rebels | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…466abacked Florida Gators | 50c | 50.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Florida Gators | 52c | 47.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Florida Gators | 54c | 45.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Florida Gators | 50c | 38.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Florida Gators | 51c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Florida Gators | 55c | 27.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed Florida Gators | 50c | 23.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Ole Miss Rebels | 51c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)this page
- Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss RebelsFlorida Gators won
- Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 150.5Over won
- Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels: O/U 151.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.