Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39f1198ec0c650306fecbbdd595405023d0277d3eb0a4b00836edbc89e46cf80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wisconsin Badgersof Michigan State Spartans, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 14,585$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,843.31 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 6,288$2,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,333.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 5,004$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,727.56 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 2,406$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Michigan State Spartans | 56c | 1,900$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.19 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 1,100$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.04 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 863.86$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.72 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 800$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 629.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.78 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Michigan State Spartans | 50c | 568.03$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 527.3$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.84 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 523.68$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.02 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…339ebacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 511.07$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.93 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 506.07$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 333.82$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.9 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 318.63$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 208.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.51 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.4 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 188.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 176$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…0a15backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 170.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.83 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 124.42$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.53 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 95.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…7276backed Michigan State Spartans | 55c | 91.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 45c | 82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf926…fb21backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 83 | 33.7%28 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Michigan State Spartans | 51c | 69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…1e06backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 59c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 40.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Michigan State Spartans | 54c | 40.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d3…09f9backed Wisconsin Badgers | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…15d4backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 37.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 37.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Wisconsin Badgers | 48c | 35.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 33.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 31.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Wisconsin Badgers | 47c | 31.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 349 | 52.1%182 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…9e0bbacked Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Michigan State Spartans | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa682…0e32backed Michigan State Spartans | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-1.5)this page
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 145.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 148.5Over won
- Spread: Michigan State Spartans (-2.5)Wisconsin Badgers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.