College Football · resolved market
Spread: Appalachian State (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4220d1e6d439240dc9183dbaf6c9c08aa598635175f0bb92853ac152dab6aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Southernof Appalachian State, Georgia Southern
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,371
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,371 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Georgia Southern | 55c | 2,218$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Appalachian State | 45c | 1,923$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.17 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Georgia Southern | 53c | 716.91$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.62 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Appalachian State | 45c | 500.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.51 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Appalachian State | 47c | 390$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Appalachian State | 46c | 332.61$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -10.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Appalachian State | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Georgia Southern | 54c | 122.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Appalachian State (-6.5)this page
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian StateGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H MoneylineGeorgia Southern won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: 1H O/U 30.5Under won
- Georgia Southern vs. Appalachian State: O/U 61.5Under won
- O/U 62.5Under won
- Spread: Appalachian State (-5.5)Georgia Southern won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.