College Football · resolved market
Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd909cabea31f1aaa9ac8729a331d49aa547d3e52727de8b7eaa172edcf463b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clemsonof South Carolina, Clemson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,284
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $162,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,284 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Clemson | 50c | 134,302$67,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,254.6 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked South Carolina | 50c | 80,000$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed South Carolina | 50c | 22,560$11,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,280 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Clemson | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200.24 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina | 51c | 14,970$7,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,634.7 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed South Carolina | 50c | 12,873$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.55 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked South Carolina | 51c | 8,157$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked South Carolina | 50c | 8,053$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052.31 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed South Carolina | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clemson | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed South Carolina | 50c | 2,994$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed South Carolina | 54c | 2,214$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.31 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Carolina | 51c | 1,875$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.25 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Clemson | 46c | 1,104$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.28 | 269 | 40.5%109 W · 160 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Clemson | 52c | 1,020$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.6 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed South Carolina | 48c | 982$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.36 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed South Carolina | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Clemson | 46c | 473.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.84 | 209 | 50.2%105 W · 104 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…b2d7backed South Carolina | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Clemson | 48c | 214.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked South Carolina | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed South Carolina | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Carolina | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Clemson | 51c | 131$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Clemson | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed South Carolina | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed South Carolina | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed South Carolina | 51c | 104.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.21 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Clemson | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed South Carolina | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Clemson | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…c16cbacked South Carolina | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked South Carolina | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…b17abacked South Carolina | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Clemson | 46c | 76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Clemson | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed South Carolina | 50c | 64.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Clemson | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed South Carolina | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Clemson | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed South Carolina | 50c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed South Carolina | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5f…4a49backed Clemson | 70c | 24.6$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa9…bad5backed Clemson | 50c | 21.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…b257backed Clemson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137b…2fd5backed Clemson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked South Carolina | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…f838backed Clemson | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: South Carolina (-2.5)this page
- Clemson vs. South CarolinaClemson won
- Clemson vs. South Carolina: O/U 46.5Under won
- O/U 47.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.