College Football · resolved market
Spread: Washington (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890102e129d693e9539360c6739883fbff818b51a14bb93f4aa7bee915cb2d41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washingtonof Washington, UCLA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked UCLA | 49c | 9,234$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,524.44 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington | 51c | 7,075$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,471.1 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed UCLA | 48c | 6,704$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,218.14 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…f62dbacked Washington | 52c | 6,641$3,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,187.68 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed UCLA | 53c | 5,572$2,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,946.46 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Washington | 46c | 3,511$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.15 | 290 | 55.2%160 W · 130 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Washington | 51c | 1,037$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.91 | 659 | 45.2%298 W · 361 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Washington | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Washington | 47c | 844$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.07 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Washington | 51c | 745.8$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.44 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Washington | 51c | 704.26$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.43 | 524 | 49.4%259 W · 265 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed UCLA | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UCLA | 49c | 430$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.9 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258e…d16cbacked Washington | 52c | 288.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.57 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Washington | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed UCLA | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Washington | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068f…4594backed Washington | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Washington | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UCLA | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed UCLA | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed UCLA | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Washington | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed UCLA | 49c | 93.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Washington | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Washington | 52c | 63.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UCLA | 51c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked UCLA | 48c | 53.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Washington | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked UCLA | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb118…947ebacked Washington | 52c | 22.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Washington (-10.5)this page
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Washington vs. UCLAWashington won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.