Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75f07adcfd0e4f498e57c483c736b5856aaa77f0d61bb73478b4ebd17190656
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 73c | 44,006$31,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,079.31 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 30c | 40,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 29c | 1,000$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.92 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 30c | 738.06$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.46 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 728.93$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 13c | 653.72$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Yes | 72c | 556.11$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 70c | 506$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 30c | 426$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 72c | 258.33$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.33 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 30c | 239.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.79 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…7c29backed No | 16c | 204.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +229.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed No | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 28c | 187.52$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 78c | 161$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 71c | 156.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 19c | 119.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 29c | 74.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 33c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes | 72c | 56.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Yes | 70c | 53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Yes | 69c | 45.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 69c | 38.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f9…a802backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Yes | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…dcefbacked Yes | 73c | 19.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0327…32ebbacked Yes | 72c | 14.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.06 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-11-09?this page
- Will Moreirense FC win on 2025-11-09?No won
- Will SC Braga vs. Moreirense FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.