College Football · resolved market
Georgia State vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a18b3af626e6a7873ceb27f2360a3ace324ffb82a755fbe5fdcaaf97e4590ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coastal Carolina Chanticleersof Georgia State, Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Georgia State | 28c | 25,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Georgia State | 0c | 23,307$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Georgia State | 21c | 2,645$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.86 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Georgia State | 1c | 866.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 76c | 847.84$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.68 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 78c | 676.92$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.16 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Georgia State | 28c | 660.45$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.93 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Georgia State | 27c | 624.54$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.38 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Georgia State | 27c | 569.11$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74c | 541.71$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Georgia State | 28c | 535.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Georgia State | 22c | 357.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 304.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Georgia State | 27c | 222.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Georgia State | 26c | 200.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Georgia State | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 199.99$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 135.23$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Georgia State | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…9793backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 97$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81f…e393backed Georgia State | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Georgia State | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 244 | 36.9%90 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3126…9dabbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Georgia State | 27c | 57.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Georgia State | 28c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Georgia State | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…ad48backed Georgia State | 27c | 37.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d8…7e74backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 37.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…f940backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e5…465dbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 20.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…b17abacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18de…0b64backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…1369backed Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Georgia State vs. Coastal Carolina Chanticleersthis page
- O/U 57.5Over won
- Spread: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (-7.5)Coastal Carolina Chanticleers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.