MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cb773ee3c77a58d7ac8eb0f02b0641cb08c66869ea1aa712747311ea76a65cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 47c | 19,186$9,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,017.2 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 8,302$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.17 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 6,210$3,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,918.64 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 3,785$1,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 53c | 1,722$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 55c | 1,661$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.86 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 53c | 993$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.71 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 857.53$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 53c | 684.11$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.53 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 667.21$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.72 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Over | 55c | 541.97$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.97 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 491.61$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 420$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.4 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 405$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 71c | 236$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 53c | 150.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 435 | 60%261 W · 174 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…2b21backed Under | 47c | 149.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 128$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 54c | 114.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Over | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.66 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c1…7e8ebacked Over | 55c | 96.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 24c | 88.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Over | 55c | 53.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 42c | 51.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Over | 56c | 51.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 54c | 51.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 47.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 42.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Under | 27c | 40.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Over | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 58c | 36.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 37c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 54c | 28.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 41c | 26.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 54c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 55c | 20.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 64c | 18.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Over | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Chicago White Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Chicago White Sox won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.