CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f3281bbca5298a15dcb8bd4c32c150d04caf8a6b040b1e0d7cb1700354b94b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 50c | 12,602$6,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300.8 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…78dbbacked Over | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 38c | 2,583$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.69 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…ddcbbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…60cfbacked Over | 41c | 1,580$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.2 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Over | 50c | 1,015$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.61 | 359 | 40.4%145 W · 214 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf681…9b77backed Over | 47c | 1,001$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.53 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 74c | 733.17$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.27 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Under | 53c | 501$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.53 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…8862backed Over | 42c | 487$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 42c | 468.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 51c | 350$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 52c | 247.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 51c | 201$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.51 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…b524backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8085…ea17backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 172 | 51.2%88 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x786c…dd20backed Over | 48c | 170.83$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 219 | 42.5%93 W · 126 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…ca12backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce6…f60abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ce…100fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 65c | 94.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.13 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 50c | 91.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 44c | 89.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 41c | 84.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe416…7fc0backed Over | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Under | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 57.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3337…780bbacked Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2455…7559backed Over | 52c | 51.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…e2c0backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 50c | 47.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2a…0f79backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 56c | 38.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 37c | 34.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Under | 63c | 34.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c7…5864backed Over | 55c | 32.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4feb…6239backed Over | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…3d27backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf561…f20dbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…988cbacked Over | 52c | 28.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…5fa9backed Over | 50c | 21.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f02…823dbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 56c | 18.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Under | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3BetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 WinnerTheMongolz won
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BetBoom Team (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)TheMongolz won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)BetBoom Team won
- Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)BetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.