MLB · resolved market
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3250991062dee7e768335a2dca0b5282e8e3bf461120775a1f94de78cd7d55c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof New York Mets, Cleveland Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $309,497
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 262 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 69,000$40,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,019.94 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed New York Mets | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,600 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 52,931$29,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,641.61 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed New York Mets | 42c | 46,335$19,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,874.53 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Mets | 54c | 39,296$21,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,951.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed New York Mets | 43c | 16,393$7,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,360.64 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed New York Mets | 41c | 10,995$4,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,487.27 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 10,585$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,927.57 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 9,990$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 9,945$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266.01 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 8,687$4,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,951.45 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Mets | 56c | 7,171$3,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.99 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 5,358$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.42 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed New York Mets | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 4,725$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.33 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 4,322$2,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,980.02 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,451$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 3,384$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.98 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Mets | 74c | 3,164$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.3 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 2,982$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,435$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.73 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed New York Mets | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.88 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,267$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.83 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 2,045$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.85 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…e11cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,999$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,952$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.03 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,941$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cleveland Guardians | 12c | 1,773$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 1,729$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.22 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 1,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cleveland Guardians | 3c | 1,704$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 1,481$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.09 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Mets | 66c | 1,365$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.86 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked New York Mets | 55c | 1,355$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.99 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 1,349$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.78 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 69c | 1,299$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.48 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 1,258$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 1,082$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.68 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Mets | 42c | 1,059$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.12 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked New York Mets | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 935.56$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 935.56$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.98 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…a2dcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 935.54$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.97 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked New York Mets | 44c | 910$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.6 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 906.36$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.56 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed New York Mets | 44c | 875.85$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe820…00dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7774…2b2cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 838.8$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.5 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 827.14$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.01 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked New York Mets | 42c | 816.67$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.67 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Mets | 75c | 800$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.55 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 781$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.79 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 670.9$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.12 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…78a5backed New York Mets | 29c | 661.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.68 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…41a4backed New York Mets | 43c | 618.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 584.99$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.62 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed New York Mets | 56c | 576.8$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a55…5a54backed New York Mets | 41c | 576.01$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.85 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 573.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.24 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed New York Mets | 45c | 532.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.97 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Mets | 71c | 517.28$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672e…d91bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 510$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed New York Mets | 42c | 508.87$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Cleveland Guardians | 68c | 505.94$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.6 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed New York Mets | 43c | 499.99$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.54 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d23…251cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 495.86$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.56 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b31…3e10backed New York Mets | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 467.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed New York Mets | 43c | 456$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.92 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 414.95$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.29 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 401.79$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…cdd1backed New York Mets | 44c | 353.34$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab61…fb2bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…26e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce00…7d1dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 52.5%94 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…f3a4backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed New York Mets | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 78cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed New York Mets | 51c | 306.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 300$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed New York Mets | 42c | 291.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 287.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.8 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 276$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.32 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed New York Mets | 42c | 269.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.59 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df3…ddfcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 14c | 253.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.62 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 17c | 249.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Cleveland Guardians | 21c | 247.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 639 | 54.5%348 W · 291 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed New York Mets | 79c | 241.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee8a…69acbacked Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 238$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Mets | 44c | 234$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.04 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked New York Mets | 68c | 232.32$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansthis page
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.