TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rafael Jodar vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$33,517
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$37,529

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,517 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over 3.561c4,621$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.2414252.8%75 W · 67 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over 3.513c4,108$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.0826355.1%145 W · 118 L+36.9wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Under 3.539c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9968935%241 W · 448 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked Under 3.534c2,049$692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.991338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+344.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.537c1,903$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.847,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Over 3.563c1,840$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.27755.8%43 W · 34 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over 3.526c1,754$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.0952152.2%272 W · 249 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…a565backed Over 3.521c1,602$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ef…372cbacked Over 3.562c1,572$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.02520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Over 3.564c1,560$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00045957.5%264 W · 195 L+1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under 3.537c1,412$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.564,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2095…8521backed Under 3.538c1,411$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.8317658.5%103 W · 73 L+12.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under 3.536c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6409,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Under 3.538c864.71$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.2324637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Under 3.538c820.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.011,03150.3%519 W · 512 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over 3.568c810.16$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012552.8%66 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce5f…d782backed Over 3.546c805.17$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37010853.7%58 W · 50 L+13.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+31.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Over 3.568c688.29$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.61,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9943…b3c7backed Over 3.563c634.92$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002412.5%3 W · 21 L-8.0wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over 3.548c507.95$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.821618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under 3.537c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.54,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdef…7f98backed Over 3.565c462.64$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30013048.5%63 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…a888backed Over 3.562c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under 3.538c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2489843.9%43 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over 3.523c304.35$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706214.5%9 W · 53 L-11.2wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-62.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under 3.537c300$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18883447.5%396 W · 438 L-2.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Under 3.534c296.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.016051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.539c276.74$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.817,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under 3.552c261.22$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.396,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd586…8d99backed Over 3.566c227.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.53125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Over 3.562c221.19$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.484440.9%18 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Over 3.514c214$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.962213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-62.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under 3.538c212$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.4447552.4%249 W · 226 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under 3.552c211.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.711,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Over 3.559c209.97$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.881030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Over 3.527c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under 3.539c186.7$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7558745.7%268 W · 319 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63bc…5025backed Over 3.562c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fdd…2fb9backed Under 3.531c158.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.163844.7%17 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Over 3.566c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10049943.5%217 W · 282 L+2.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under 3.538c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931,15148.7%560 W · 591 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Over 3.561c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.533747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under 3.539c129.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7838947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc52e…0a1cbacked Over 3.562c129.03$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803324.2%8 W · 25 L-8.1wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-59%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x5080…d89abacked Over 3.559c112.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.51425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17af…2a45backed Under 3.541c102.44$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.445547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under 3.539c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6186835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c48…f6f6backed Over 3.521c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64c3…75abbacked Over 3.563c95.24$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011545.2%52 W · 63 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf05d…6ababacked Over 3.526c82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.322626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e86…6b0fbacked Over 3.561c81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.414158.5%24 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under 3.536c79.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1938741.1%159 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Over 3.565c75.38$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over 3.565c65.38$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.53,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c16…4085backed Under 3.579c63.2$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d1…439ebacked Under 3.535c62.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.948755.2%48 W · 39 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf08…12a3backed Under 3.533c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6123551.9%122 W · 113 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Over 3.561c60$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62626.9%7 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-48.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07d9…c160backed Under 3.541c58.54$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.545453.7%29 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6100…7827backed Over 3.561c58.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.412740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e6…0896backed Over 3.565c53.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over 3.565c53.14$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.552,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Under 3.545c52.7$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.812,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf75…262fbacked Over 3.561c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Under 3.539c50$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Over 3.557c49.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.498565.9%56 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfae3…5228backed Over 3.562c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303360.6%20 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Over 3.561c43.72$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.561,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44be…76b1backed Over 3.561c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47153.5%38 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa01a…1c6ebacked Under 3.539c39.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.391656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf5e…a32cbacked Over 3.561c39.34$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe248…8165backed Under 3.541c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.593100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+88%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Over 3.562c35.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2217358.4%101 W · 72 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fb…c3cabacked Over 3.561c32.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204671.7%33 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8998…e141backed Over 3.562c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Over 3.566c30.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028249.3%139 W · 143 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Under 3.540c30.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.214652.2%24 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.15per pick37cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under 3.539c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.456264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1488…409dbacked Over 3.561c29.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184946.9%23 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc94…a3b6backed Under 3.540c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152475%18 W · 6 L+5.6wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0775…2d52backed Over 3.561c24.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x175c…7b7cbacked Over 3.561c24.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4a…3026backed Over 3.563c23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4921353.5%114 W · 99 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d9…ef5bbacked Over 3.562c22.48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9450%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf909…0875backed Over 3.562c20.95$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick68cpaid-43.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf13…7c9abacked Over 3.562c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.43275%24 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbcb1…cdd9backed Over 3.561c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7776…5bdcbacked Over 3.560c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…3d70backed Over 3.564c18.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-71.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.